Climate Update

Here is a look at the precipitation and temperature trends over the next two weeks. The Climate Prediction Center has updated there 6-10 day and 8-14  day outlooks. Much cooler than normal temperatures and near normal precipitation looks to be in store over the next week.     By week 2, warmer air returns as the […]

Long Range Outlook

It’s the time of year when we begin to wonder if we will see a white Christmas! While Forecasting 19 days out is nearly impossible, a general pattern favorable for certain weather scenarios can usually be determined. Let’s begin with the pattern of the jet stream. The GFS keeps hinting at a meridional pattern closer […]

AER Winter Forecast

The Capital Weather Gang interviewed Judah Cohen from the Atmospheric and Environmental Research (AER) firm about the upcoming winter. “Cohen, who directs seasonal forecasting efforts at the firm Atmospheric and Environmental Research (AER), a unit of Verisk Climate, discovered the linkage between the behavior of Eurasian fall snow cover and eastern U.S. winters nearly 15 years […]

Winter Outlooks – Fibbing Amongst The Finest

First and foremost, I’d like to say that there requires nearly zero skill in producing a “Winter Outlook.”  I have listened to a wide variety of folks, both amateurs and veterans, tell me what they think this winter will bring, and their theories range from comical to broad range, with little substance.  Whether it be […]