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This Afternoon – Partly Cloudy & Breezy – High 65 / Tonight – Partly Cloudy, Iso’d Showers – Low 44
2pm 63 ~ 4pm 61 ~ 7pm 53
Forecast looks to be right on track. Partly to mostly cloudy skies have accompanied the region today, and will continue to do so through the remainder of our Monday. Winds are expected to pick up through the afternoon, as a pressure gradient tightens up across the region. The model below displays this pressure gradient (closely aligned thin, green lines). It is a direct result of high pressure to our northeast, and low pressure to our northwest:
Partly cloudy skies will remain the story for tonight, as our next weather maker begins to take shape across the Plains. We do have moisture streaming over us from the southwest, which may result in a few isolated showers overnight. Southwesterly flow will continue to keep moisture in place across our proximity, keeping the cloud cover around.
Tues – Partly Sunny, Increasing Clouds – High 65 / Tues Night – Mostly Cloudy – Low 51
7am 52 ~ 10am 60 ~ 1pm63 ~ 4pm 61 ~ 7pm 56
A mid-latitude cyclone will begin to evolve across the central Plains tomorrow, which will track northeastward, toward the Great Lakes. An associated cold front will approach from our west in response to this, which will increase cloud cover across south central Kentucky through the overnight. Other than that, it should be a nice, seasonable, fall day.
Wed – Scat’d Showers & Storms – High 70 / Wed Night – Showers & Storms Likely – Low 47
Our next opportunity at seeing the wet stuff will arrive Wednesday, as the cold front closes in on south central Kentucky. Strong winds are expected, as well as heavy rainfall, thanks to precipitable water values pumping up well above normal. Activity should remain scattered through late Wednesday evening.
This system will NOT have the same dynamic setup as the weather maker we experienced on Halloween. Although a few storms will be possible, severe weather looks to be out of the equation. Again, this is expected to be more of a heavy rain event, bringing 20-30mph wind gusts along with it. The heaviest precip will fall Wednesday night into the early morning hours of Thursday. The NAM thickness model below is valid for 12am Thursday, and supports this:
That’s all for now, friends. I’ll be back bright and early tomorrow morning with a freshly produced forecast. Until then, enjoy what’s left of your Monday. Thanks for reading!