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Forecast Discussion
Good morning, everybody. Starting today and continuing through the weekend, it looks like we’re going to have some unsettled weather. However, if you remain weather aware, then there shouldn’t be any problem!
Overnight, storms have been firing to our north and near our neck of the woods, as well. Moving throughout the day, we should remain partly sunny and dry; however, storms look to initiate this afternoon, due to an upper-level disturbance and differential heating.
Via COD Meteorology, hi-res model for this afternoon
There is an upper-level ridge sitting over the southeast (i.e. why our weather has been so boring lately). Well, a trough is trying to move through this ridge, providing more upper-level support for these afternoon storms, thus increasing the chance for strong showers and thunderstorms. With dewpoints in the upper 60’s/lower 70’s, it’s definitely going to be another muggy day for us, so just keep that in mind if you’re outside today.
Via SPC
Once these storms initiate, they will take advantage of the increased atmospheric instability, potentially increasing the threat of strong thunderstorms across the area. Thus, the SPC has placed us in a marginal risk (level 1/5), with the higher risk of severe weather to our south. It looks like most of the storms will start during the early afternoon hours and will end by the late evening, not extending into the overnight hours for most places.
WPC Surface Map via NOAA, valid today 7am – Saturday 7am
Starting on Friday, we’ll be on the back end of the upper-level trough in a more stable air mass, providing much calmer conditions for the end of the workweek. It’s still going to be hot and muggy out there, but at least there won’t be strong storms.
Via Giphy.com
For our weekend, it looks like there is gonna be multiple weak upper-level disturbances moving through the region. Again, this will increase the strong/severe weather potential for the weekend. Saturday looks to be a bit messy with less organized storms; however, Sunday looks to have an environment suitable for stronger and more organized thunderstorms to move through the area. We will continue to monitor the severe threat for this weekend, so make sure to stay updated with the blog.
Forecast Summary
Today: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon; otherwise, partly sunny with a high of 89°. Tonight, expect isolated showers and thunderstorms with a low of 71°.
- Wake Up: 78°
- Lunchtime: 85°
- Snack time: 89°
- Evening: 83°
Tomorrow: Mostly sunny with a high of 90°. Overnight, expect increasing cloud cover and isolated shower chances with low of 71°.
- Wake Up: 71°
- Lunchtime: 89°
- Snack time: 90°
- Evening: 86°
Saturday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon; otherwise, partly sunny with a high of 91°. Overnight, expect more isolated showers and thunderstorms with a low of 72°.
- Wake Up: 71°
- Lunchtime: 88°
- Evening: 84°
Well, that’s all I got for y’all! Make sure to follow @wxornotBG on Twitter and like Landon Hampton on Facebook for the latest weather information. Have a fantastic rest of the week!