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Real-time Bowling Green Weather Radar
Yesterday’s Weather
Yesterday was fairly boring. Forecast Jacob Wilkins was absolutely right to term his forecast as having, “Meh” weather, because that exact thing happened. Yesterday felt like a Monday. It was cloudy a lot, we had some isolated showers, etc. Just overall a truly, “Meh” day.
Forecast Summary
Today: Partly to mostly cloudy, with scattered storms. Highs around 84°F. Overnight, partly cloudy, with lows around 72°F.
- Wake up: ⛅️/⛈ 74°F
- Lunch hour: ⛅️/⛈ 80°F
- Evening time: 🌤 81°F
Tomorrow: Partly cloudy, with an isolated storm possible. Highs around 93°F. Overnight, look for partly cloudy skies, with lows around 74°F.
- Wake up: 🌤 73°F
- Lunch hour: 🌤 90°F
- Evening time: 🌤/iso’t ⛈ 86°F
Thursday: Partly cloudy, with scattered storms possible in the evening. Highs around 94°F. Overnight, scattered storms possible. Lows around 73°F.
- Wake up: ☀️ 76°F
- Lunch hour: 🌤 91°F
- Evening time: ⛅️/⛈ 87°F
Discussion
Back to reality! After a few calm days, we are back into a summertime pattern of heat, humidity and thunderstorms.
Today looks interesting because the same weak mid-level low pressure that was churning near us will be around again. It has already fired off some thunderstorms over western KY, and they are moving towards the region.
The thunderstorms will have plenty of moisture to work with, and will produce heavy and efficient rainfall as they move through the region. Precipitable water values are very high right now, and will lead to these storms producing heavy rainfall.
After this cluster of storms moves out of the region early this afternoon, I am expecting the sun to come out and isolated storms to be the only threat the rest of the day. Look for highs in the mid 80s.
Overnight, look for skies to stay partly cloudy, with lows in the lower 70s. During your Hump Day tomorrow, there doesn’t appear to be much going on weather wise.
A stronger low pressure will be moving well to our north, and the associated forcing with that will be well to our north as well. Therefore, I am expecting little in the way of storm activity during the day tomorrow. However, southwesterly flow will be pretty strong at the surface, and this will lead to high heat and humidity. Highs will end up in the low to mid 90s, which will combined with >70 degree dewpoints for a miserable afternoon.
Overnight on Wednesday, look for partly cloudy skies, with lows in the mid 70s.
Thursday is one of the more interesting days of the week. I am not totally sure what will happen due to model inconsistency.
I do have a good grip on what I think will happen, though. Between Thursday and Friday, multiple shortwaves embedded in the 500 mb flow will likely be moving through. The first of these looks to be Thursday evening. The latest run of the NAM was fairly bullish on that, but it wasn’t consistently showing that same scenario.
I think that we will likely see a round of thunderstorms Thursday evening, and then again during the overnight hours of Thursday. Expect highs to reach the mid 90s on Thursday, with lows ending up in the 70s.
Extended Outlook
As I mentioned above, Friday is just outside of this period, but it does look like it will have a good bit of thunderstorm action. With multiple small shortwaves/vorticity maximums propagating through, there will likely be thunderstorms on Friday. Heavy rainfall will be the biggest threat with this.
Looking long term, the CPC has above average temperatures across the region during the 6-10 day time frame, but an equal chance for above/below average precip during that time.
