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Good morning, folks! Hope everyone had a wonderful Saturday. Major changes are on the way, starting with increasing clouds and rain chances today before a severe weather event on Monday eyes the region.
Increasing Clouds and Rain Today
Well, the clouds that I advertised would be around all day today are still a ways off to our west.
They are approaching, and you’ll see increasing cloud cover even as the morning goes along. This system isn’t particularly fast moving, but it is approaching the region.
With the increase in clouds will also come an increase in rain chances across the region. Rain looks to move into the region between 4 and 5 pm. These will be light showers, but rain nonetheless.
Winds should get a bit gusty as the rain front approach, and southerly winds will help to push highs into the low and mid 60s (62ºF-63ºF) for highs today.
Rain chances will remain decrease as we head into the overnight hours.
Severe Weather Possible on Monday
As was mentioned yesterday, the threat for severe weather is still very much real on Monday night and early Tuesday as potent upper level system approaches the region.
The SPC has placed all of our region within a Slight Risk for severe weather, with some in an Enhanced Risk. Here is what you need to know:
- A strong cold front is forecast to force an intense squall line within a favorable environment.
- Strong changing of winds and direction with height will lead to plentiful shear. This is needed for severe storms.
- Unstable air won’t be abundant, but with a strong cold front, that isn’t as necessary. It could be a limiting factor, though.
- Highest threat will be between 10 pm and 2 am. You must have a way to get warnings at night.
- The greatest threats will be damaging winds and isolated tornadoes.
The models are really starting to converge on an impactful severe weather event, showing a powerful squall line pushing through the region during the middle of the night.
In addition to the threat that the line poses, any storm ahead of the line may have the chance to rotate and produce tornadoes. There is some indication that there could be clusters of rain/storms ahead of the main line, so that will need to be watched closely.
h/t giphy.com
That could help dampen the main line, or it could increase the overall threat. Ahead of all of this, isolated showers and clouds look to characterize the weather. Winds will get gusty out of the southeast by the evening, increasing temps into the lower 70s (70ºF-71ºF).
By Tuesday, the front will have cleared the region, allowing for cooler weather and sunshine to return. Highs on Tuesday should be in the lower 60s in the afternoon, with breezy winds throughout the day.
Please stay weather aware over the next day or so. We will have updates as needed. Follow @wxornotBG on Facebook and Twitter for the latest info.