Winter Making a Comeback

wxornotBG 3/10/17: Storms are gone, now we look at snow chances…

Posted by Landon Hampton on Friday, March 10, 2017


Yesterday’s Weather

Yesterday was a very nice day across the region. Sunny skies in the morning hours gave way to some high clouds in the afternoon.  Southerly surface winds help push temperatures in the mid 70s.  Rainfall picked up overnight as showers and thunderstorms moved into the region.  In total, we picked up around half an inch of rain. I hope you enjoyed the warm weather, because old man winter looks to make a return this weekend.

Forecast Summary

Today: Sunny skies and a little chilly. Highs will be around 50°. Northerly winds could gust up to 20 mph. Cold overnight under mostly cloudy skies. Lows will be around 28°.

  • Waking Up: 🌤 44°
  • Lunch Time: ☀️ 47°
  • School’s Out: ☀️ 50°
  • Evening: ☀️ 42°

Saturday: Snow in the morning will give way to a mix of rain and snow. Highs will be around 36°. Snow will continue into the evening and overnight with a low around 26°.

  • Waking Up: 🌨  30°
  • Lunch Time: 🌧 /🌨 35°
  • Evening: 🌨 32°

Sunday: Partly cloudy skies in the morning should give way to mostly sunny skies in the afternoon. Highs will be around 45°. Partly cloudy skies return overnight with a low around 29°.

  • Waking Up: 🌤 30°
  • Lunch Time: 🌤 41°
  • Evening: ☀️ 38°

Discussion

Overall a nice day is on tap for today.  The cold front that moved through this morning will bring dry air to region, allowing for sunny skies the rest of the day.  Temperatures will be much cooler compared to yesterday as we expect highs only in the upper 40s and low 50s. Winds will be gusty out of the north, making it feel a bit cooler than it actually is.

WPC Forecast Frontal Positions - Valid this Morning - NOAA WPC
WPC Forecast Frontal Positions – Valid this Morning – NOAA WPC

A Freeze Warning is in effect across the region for tonight.  Despite mostly cloudy skies, the temperature will likely drop into the upper 20s. This will kill all sensitive plants that may have budded too early!

Me when I think of all the flowers dying…they were so young. h/t giphy.com

The attention then turns to Saturday for a complicated winter weather setup.  Precipitation should slide into the region from the northwest during the morning hours. I expect this to initially be all snow.  However, rain may mix in at times as surface temperatures warm.  A break in the precipitation seems plausible during the afternoon hours. However, more snow should set in during the evening and overnight hours.

Hi-Res NAM Simulated Radar - Valid Saturday Morning thru Sunday Morning - pivotalweather.com
Hi-Res NAM Simulated Radar – Valid Saturday Morning thru Sunday Morning – pivotalweather.com

Overall, current thinking is that minor accumulations will be possible.  Area-wide I expect a dusting to 1″ is possible, with a better chance of higher totals the farther south you are.  Some of the models are suggesting a few heavy bands of precipitation form.  If this does unfold, expect some locally higher amounts.

Current National Weather Service Thinking - NWS Louisville
Current National Weather Service Thinking – NWS Louisville

Sunday will bring higher pressure into the region.  Temperatures should rebound nicely into the mid 40s under mostly sunny skies.  This should help melt the snow rather quickly.  Sunday night lows will fall back into the mid 20s. It doesn’t look like winter is quite done with us yet.

h/t giphy.com

Today’s Key Points

  • Today: A wee bit chilly compared to yesterday.
  • Tomorrow: Rain and snow is possible. Minor accumulations seem likely.
  • Sunday: Chilly, but nice. Don’t complain.

That’ll wrap up this forecast.  Be sure to follow @wxornotBG & @WKUweather for the latest Bowling Green weather information. Also be sure to check out Landon Hampton on Facebook. Have a great Friday!