Valentine's Day Snow Update

Real-time Bowling Green weather radar:

Valentine’s Day, 2/14- Snow – High 34˚ / Tonight – Snow & Rain – Low 32˚

Good morning, Bowling Green! And Happy Valentine’s Day to all you lovebirds out there. Today will definitely be the perfect conditions to cozy up with your special someone as winter weather is back in the forecast!

Bowling Green and the surrounding areas are under a Winter Weather Advisory, valid from 3AM CST Sunday through 6AM CST Monday. A Winter Weather Advisory simply means periods of snow will cause travel difficulties due to snow-covered roads and limited visibilities.

As high pressure moves off to our east, a shortwave trough will begin to ride into the region. This upper-level feature, along with a low pressure system to our southwest, will provide our area with the ingredients needed for some accumulating snowfall this Valentine’s Day.

The shortwave trough will provide us with LIFT; the warm sector of the low pressure center will provide MOISTURE; and the retreating high pressure center/accompanying Arctic air will provide us with COLD TEMPERATURES at the surface.

We should see some snowfall this morning, but the snow will really pick up into the afternoon and evening hours. 2-4 inches of snow has been the overall consensus over the past few days with this system, and I still agree with this range.

As far as temperatures go, we will start out in the 20s this morning with southerly winds allowing temperatures to increase to around the freezing mark later this afternoon. Temperatures will actually continue to increase as we move into the overnight hours, with our high likely hitting right around midnight, and our overnight low right at around the same temperature.

Monday Midnight — NAM Temperature Map, Valid Midnight, via Pivotal Weather

Due to these changes in temperatures, we could see some light freezing rain early tonight during the transition period, turning into all rain late.

Be sure if you’re out and about today, to take it slow and take precautions when driving.

Monday, 2/15 – Rain – High 42˚ / Monday Night – Rain/Light Snow – Low 33˚

The precipitation doesn’t stop there. Monday will bring more moisture to the region, but warm temperatures look to keep the p-type as rain, so keep your umbrella handy. Southerly flow at the surface will hike temperatures up into the 40s by the afternoon!

Monday 6AM — WPC Surface Map, Valid 6AM Monday, via NOAA

Although Monday will feel quite warm compared to the bone-chilling temperatures we felt this weekend, it will definitely be a dreary day.

As the precipitation trails off to our east, rain will transition into snow during the overnight hours. Little to no accumulation is expected with this second round of snow.

Tuesday, 2/16 – Chance of Rain – High 48˚ / Tuesday Night – Rain/Snow Chance – Low 32˚

So this precipitation can’t stop, won’t stop. Tuesday afternoon and evening will bring another clipper into the area, but this system won’t be nearly as widespread or impacting as the two on Sunday or Monday.

Those of us in south central Kentucky look to be at the bottom tip of the clipper, but some snow then rain then snow (dang temperature changes) are likely.

Tues Temps — NAM Surface Temperature Map, Valid 3PM Tuesday, via Pivotal Weather

Southerly winds will keep us warm on Tuesday, with temperatures into the upper 40s for our high. Temperatures will drop once again around freezing for our overnight low.

And as always, stay in touch with @WxOrNotBG for the latest real-time weather info. Have a great day!