Strong-Severe Storms Possible

Real-Time Regional Radar:

————————————————————————

This Afternoon – Mostly Cloudy; Sct’d Showers – High 77º / Tonight – Mostly Cloudy; Sct’d Storms – Low 69º

3pm 77º – 6pm 76º – 9pm 73º – 12am 71º – 3am 70º – 6am 69º

It’s a cloudy, dreary start to our week as cooler and more comfortable conditions have taken over for today. Plenty of cloud cover has hung tough for much of the day and will continue to do so for the remainder of this evening.

A surface low is set to slowly move northeastward towards the Commonwealth over the next 24 hours. In return, the development of a few showers will be possible later this afternoon and into the evening with more activity expected late tonight. Otherwise, expect a cooler day with mild overnight temperatures dropping into the upper 60’s.

 

More rain chances, eh?! I know the feeling…

Stay calm.

Tue – Mostly Cloudy; Strong-Severe Storms – High 81º / Tue Night – Mostly Cloudy; Showers Likely – Low 67º

The aforementioned surface low will slowly meander across the Ozarks Tuesday and eventually into the Ohio Valley Region Wednesday. A warm front will ride northward throughout the day helping bump temperatures into the lower 80’s by Tuesday afternoon. Winds will shift to a more southwesterly flow as plenty of rich, gulf moisture rides northward into the region.

Despite the dense cloud cover expected for Tuesday, the atmosphere will still have some instability to work with by tomorrow afternoon as the warm front pushes northward. Accompany this abundant amount of moisture (Precipitable water values near 2.0’’), instability, and the approaching front (lift), the ingredients for strong-severe storm development will be possible tomorrow afternoon.

The latest outlook from the Storm Prediction Center seems to have the same idea. Much of south-central Kentucky is outlined under a slight risk for severe storms Tuesday and does include the city of Bowling Green. With that said, main threats with any activity will remain heavy downpours and damaging winds. 

Wed – Mostly Cloudy, Showers  – High 78º / Wed Night – Mostly Cloudy, Sct’d Showers – Low 66º

As the main threat for severe weather passes through Tuesday, another disturbance will work in and provide plenty of shower activity for Wednesday. The slow moving surface low will continue to churn and work northeastward towards the Great Lakes Region. The front will provided additional lift as the moist environment keeps widespread showers around much of the day.

Showers are expected to eventually decrease in coverage late Wednesday before another upper level trough moves in and finally helps push the previous system well out of the region. While rainfall looks possible Thursday and Friday, the lack in moisture will help keep precipitation chances lower.  However, this is subject to change and will be something we continue to monitor over the next couple of days.

With the enhanced risk for strong-severe storms Tuesday, be sure to stay up to date with all your real time weather info @WxOrNotBG and @WarrenCountyWX on twitter. Wishing everyone a great evening! Stay weather aware!