Isolated Showers Possible Today

 Friday – Increasing Clouds, Iso’d Showers – High 59 / Fri Night – Mostly Cloudy, Low 46

 7am 35 ~ 10am 47 ~ 1pm 55 ~ 4pm 58 ~ 7pm 50

 A mid level shortwave will track near the region today, which will cause cloud coverage to increase, as southerly winds of 5-10mph occupy south central Kentucky.  Given the setup, isolated – scattered showers will be possible through the day, with the most likely time at seeing the wet stuff arriving through the afternoon.  The majority of us should remain dry.  The NAM simulated radar below is valid for 3pm today:

Sat- Isolated Showers & Storms, BREEZY – High 66 / Sat Night – Scat’d Showers & Storms – Low 57

7am 48 ~ 10am 58 ~ 1pm 66 ~ 4pm 64 ~ 7pm 57

 A surface low still looks to develop over the Plains 0n Saturday, and begin to deepen (intensify) as it pushes northeast toward the Great Lakes.  In response to this, south central Kentucky will be placed in the warm sector of this evolving weather maker.

A warm, moist airmass will advance northeast into our proximity from the Gulf, setting up an atmosphere capable of producing isolated – scattered showers and storms.  Southerly winds of 10-20mph will take temperatures into the mid – upper 60s.

Sunday – Scat’d Showers & Storms (Potentially Severe) – High 72

As warm, moist air continues to be pumped into our proximity, parameters will align for a potential severe weather event to unfold.  The image provided is the latest Convective Outlook from the SPC, valid for Sunday.  As I’ve mentioned multiple times the past few days, it continues to include basically the entire state of Kentucky as an area of concentration (Slight Risk) for severe weather:

The latest data set has continued to struggled with the timing of this event.  From what I’m seeing at the moment, Sunday afternoon – Sunday night still looks like the time frame we need to focus on.  Parameters are in place for a squall line (possibly multiple lines) to develop and propagate over the area, leading a strong cold front that will pass to our east Sunday night.  Damaging winds look to be the main threat, along with the potential for isolated tornadoes.  Some questions still remain, however, we’ll need to closely monitor this as it continues to organize.

That will be all for the time being, folks.  I’ll be back again this afternoon with a fresh update regarding our pending severe weather this weekend.  Enjoy your Friday, and thanks for reading!