Rain & Thunderstorm Chances on the Increase

Good Thursday Morning everyone! I hope y’all have had a great week so far. There is a fair amount of stuff to talk about to today with rain and thunderstorm chances increasing today and tomorrow.

storm GIF
Hey, where did all of the sunshine go? (Giphy)


Starting off this discussion will be the severe weather threat that exists today, or rather tonight. The SPC has all of WABBLS on the eastern edge of a Marginal Risk (level 1/5).

SPC Day 1 Outlook

This is a very low level risk for what will be a decaying line of storms approaching our area very late tonight. Timing on this will come down to around 1-3 AM for the arrival of the line.

Model Future Radar Tonight (Pivotal Weather)

Since this line will be making its way towards us overnight, it will have very limited instability and fuel to keep its strength. Isolated pockets of damaging winds will still be possible before the line breaks apart.

Moving back towards the day today, skies will actually clear up a bit this afternoon resulting in a not so bad day. Highs will be in the upper 80s again, so the heat is still sticking around.

Model Projected Highs for Today (Pivotal Weather)


Severe weather will exist again tomorrow, but at a similar limited and questionable capacity. The SPC has a Marginal Risk (Level 1/5) our for a good chunk of the state, including WABBLES.

SPC Day 2 Outlook

This threat will be for the any thunderstorms that can develop in the late morning/afternoon. Models aren’t quite agreeing on where storms develop, but they will start out as isolated cells and then quickly congeal into a few clusters.

Model Future Radar Tomorrow (Pivotal Weather)

Any storms that develop and can get their act together, will have a chance of producing damaging wind gusts, and a even an isolated tornado spin up. Uncertainty still exists as to whether or not storms develop right on top of us, or to the east of us.

Either way, these storms will develop during the hottest part of the day, where highs can reach the mid to upper 70s.

Model Projected Highs Tomorrow (Pivotal Weather)

Memorial Day Weekend

Moving into the weekend time frame, high pressure over Wisconsin will push its way towards us resulting in a dry weekend.

Day 8 image not available
WPC Frontal Chart for Saturday

Saturday will be a bit of a recovery day in terms of temps from all of the rain and cooler rain we will see. I would expect highs to be in the mid 60s with cloudy skies.

Model Projected Highs Saturday (Pivotal Weather)

Sunday will be a bit warmer with temps reaching back into the lower to mid 70s. Skies should also clear up a bit reaching more of a partly cloudy status.

Model Projected Highs on Sunday (Pivotal Weather)

That will be all for this blog post! Stay safe out there and visit us on our social media pages below for updates on storm chances today and tomorrow.