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Real Time Bowling Green Weather Radar:
Yesterday’s Weather
Yesterday featured isolated showers and storms under partly cloudy skies in the early afternoon. The high temperature of 91° was also set in the early afternoon around 12:30 PM. Widespread showers and storms developed to the west and moved into the region overnight, leading to 0.57″ of rain yesterday.
Forecast Summary
*** Flash Flood Watch in effect until 7 AM Tuesday CDT ***
Independence Day: Mostly cloudy with scattered early AM showers. Thunderstorms and heavy rain likely this evening. Some severe weather and flash flooding is possible. Highs around 86° expected. Rain continues overnight with a low around 75°.
- Waking Up: 🌥 🌧 74°
- Lunch Time: 🌥 85°
- Evening: 🌧 ⛈ 81°
Tuesday: Isolated AM showers will give way to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon highs will be around 87°. Isolated thunderstorms may develop in the evening and overnight hours. Lows will be around 75°.
- Waking Up: 🌥 🌧 75°
- Lunch Time: 🌥 85°
- Evening: 🌥 ⛈ 84°
Wednesday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms possible with a high around 92° possible. Isolated showers and storms continue overnight with a low around 75°.
- Waking Up: 🌥 🌧 76°
- Lunch Time: 🌥 ⛈ 88°
- Evening: 🌥 ⛈ 86°
Forecast Discussion
Very heavy rainfall in the western part of the state led to flash flooding and the eventual evacuation of homes in and around portions of Kentucky Lake. I mention this because the same moist air mass responsible for the flash flooding is in place today. Remember that a Flash Flood Watch has been issued for the entire area until 7 AM Tuesday. If you come to a flooded roadway, turn around, don’t drown. Additional rainfall amounts of 2-3″ are possible according to the National Weather Service.
What’s responsible for the heavy rain? A stalled front across the region. This will act as an area of surface convergence today, allowing for more rain and thunderstorms to form in the afternoon. High precipitable water values are currently in place across the region, meaning heavy rain is possible, as well as the potential for strong to severe wind to mix down to the surface in thunderstorm downdrafts. For this reason, the Storm Prediction Center has placed our region in a “Slight” risk of severe weather for today.
Although coverage should decrease compared to today, additional thunderstorms may form on Tuesday evening despite ridging moving into the region. Outflow boundaries may be the focus of convergence, allowing isolated thunderstorms to form. Strong wind and some hail may be possible with the strongest storms. As of now, the Storm Prediction Center has placed our region in a “Marginal” risk of severe weather.
On Wednesday, we’ll likely remain on the outer fringes of a developing ridge across the region. This means temperatures will continue to rise. It also means our weather will be susceptible to any small disturbance moving around the ridge of high pressure. Thus, daily isolated storm chances will likely remain in the forecast for the time being.
Extended Outlook
Ridging will continue to occur across the southern United States until a very large, strong ridge moves into place next week. This will bring the heat and humidity back to the region once more. Yay.
That should wrap up this forecast. Be sure to enjoy this Independence Day and give @WxOrNotBG a follow too for all of your Bowling Green weather information. Have a great day!