at 6:18 PM by Landon Hampton

More Storms On The Way

We’ve been very wet through much of our Sunday, with scattered showers and storms still impacting the area as we speak.  Around mid afternoon, we had a stout line of convection plow east across the area, bringing with it flooding, downed trees and beautiful structure.

We currently have a low pressure system tracking northeast toward the Great Lakes, which is responsible for spawning the numerous rounds of activity we’ve experienced today.

via SPC Mesoanalysis
via SPC Mesoanalysis

Lingering showers and storms should taper off as we get later into the evening, however, one last round of storms is expected to impact the area after midnight.  Our atmosphere will remain unstable, with another disturbance coinciding with the given ingredients to produce a few strong/severe storms.

The HRRR Simulated Radar model below is valid for 1am Monday morning.  This should give you somewhat of an idea of how the evolution of the last round of storms will behave.

HRRR Simulated Radar Valid 1am Monday – WeatherBELL

The SPC has kept south central Kentucky under a ‘Slight Risk’ for severe storms overnight.  Main threats will be damaging wind, with a more marginal threat for large hail or isolated tornado taking place.

Screen Shot 2015-04-19 at 5.20.29 PM

 

Continuing to relay information from the SPC, they have the entire viewing area in a 15% probability of seeing severe winds (≥58mph) take place within 25 miles of any given location.

SPC Damaging Wind Probabilities within 25 miles of any given location
SPC Damaging Wind Probabilities within 25 miles of any given location

We’ll keep a few hit & miss showers in the forecast until the associated cold front with this system pushes southeast across the area Monday morning.  The passing of this boundary will result in conditions drying out, with cooler temperature settling in.

Afternoon highs on both Monday and Tuesday will be limited to the mid to upper 60s.

That’s all I have for the evening update.  Stay weather aware this evening as our pattern looks to stay active.  As always, stay in touch with @WxOrNotBG and @WarrenCountyWx for the latest real-time weather info.  WKU students, remember to stay connected to @wkuCHAOS.  Have a safe night!