Active and Warm Week Looks to Continue

Real-Time Radar


Yesterday’s Weather

How awesome has this weather been recently!? I mean, I can’t even explain how happy it makes me. One, it is running weather. I’m able to get out and go for a run consistently, which is really nice. Two, it is warming up water temperatures. That is good because I loooooove to fish. That is the one thing that allows me to break away from everything else, and regain focus. So, for me, it doesn’t get much better than the weather we have seen the past 4 to 5 days.

Yesterday's climate report. h/t NWS Louisville
Yesterday’s climate report. h/t NWS Louisville

Forecast Summary

Today: Mostly cloudy, with scattered showers throughout the day. Highs around 68°F. Overnight, look for mostly cloudy skies, with lows around 57°F.

  • Bus stop: ☁️  57°F
  • Lunch Hour: ☁️ /iso’t showers 65°F
  • School Is Out: ☁️ /iso’t showers 68°F
  • Evening time: ☁️ /iso’t showers 66°F

Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy early, with clouds breaking up by the afternoon. Highs around 70°F. Overnight, look for partly cloudy skies. Lows around 55°F.

  • Bus stop: ⛅️  57°F
  • Lunch Hour: ⛅️/☀️  66°F
  • School Is Out: ☀️  70°F
  • Evening time: ☀️  68°F

Thursday: Partly to mostly cloudy, with an isolated shower possible. Highs around 74°F. Overnight, look for partly to mostly clear skies. Lows around 59°F.

  • Bus stop: ☀️/⛅️  56°F
  • Lunch Hour: ☀️/⛅️  70°F
  • School Is Out: ☀️  74°F
  • Evening time: ☀️   71°F

Discussion

Well, well, well…it is looking like we get a fun and active week! Finally! I feel like our “active” weeks have been light rainfall, or a kinda tough forecast that resulted in nothing significant.

As an overview of this week through Friday: its gonna be warm, folks. This stretch of warmth is pretty crazy, especially considering it is late February. I don’t know the last time we have seen 70 degree highs like this in February.

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

Well, let me start this whole thing off. We are currently under the influence of a pretty odd setup just to our west. A strong ridge is parked to our east, and a trough of low pressure has run into it, and is stretching out basically.

The low over southern Oklahoma and northern Texas is forecast to cut off, and move southeast. h/t SPC
The low over southern Oklahoma and northern Texas is forecast to cut off, and move southeast. h/t SPC

This is providing us with moisture and lift for showers today, and for the cloudy skies you’ll see. I think the clouds hinder us from hitting 70°F today, but I don’t have us too far off. Additionally, we shouldn’t see too much in the way of rainfall. The forcing for this system is a bit stretched at best, and is maximized to our south. Still, expect showers intermittently throughout the day.

The HRRR model shows rain moving in and out through the day. h/t pivotalweather.com
The HRRR model shows rain moving in and out through the day. h/t pivotalweather.com

This trough looks to actually propagate eastward and cutoff over the Gulf of Mexico. That may not sound like anything significant, but that is extremely unusual.

Weird stuff we have going on! Wednesday and Thursday will largely be more of the same kinda stuff. I think tomorrow morning struggles to clear out the clouds, but they should break up by early afternoon, allowing us to rise into the 70s.

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

Thursday looks interesting, mainly because a warm front associated with Friday’s low looks to move through, and may try to force some weak showers during the morning hours. These will be scattered and light, so I am not too concerned about them. This warm front then ushers in nice, deep southwesterly flow across the region. AKA expect temps to approach the mid 70s.

The NAM has us getting warm on Thursday! h/t pivotalweather.com
The NAM has us getting warm on Thursday! h/t pivotalweather.com

By Friday, confidence is growing that a deep surface low pressure system will approach the region, and drag a strong cold front through the region by Friday night. This looks (at this time) to be accompanied by a strong wind field in the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere, as well. What does this mean? Well the threat for severe weather, of course. With strong surface flow and what looks to be partly cloudy skies on Friday, temperatures will likely approach record highs during the day. The SPC already has us placed in an outlook for Friday.

The SPC outlook for severe weather on Friday. h/t SPC
The SPC outlook for severe weather on Friday. h/t SPC

Be on alert, and we’ll keep you up to date!


Today’s Key Points

  • Rain and clouds today
  • 70s Wednesday through Friday
  • Record highs may be hit
  • Strong winds Thursday and especially Friday
  • Severe Thunderstorms possible on Friday
Thats all I have for ya! Thanks for checking into WxOrNotBG this morning, and be sure to follow @wxornotBG and @WKUweather on Twitter and like Landon Hampton on Facebook for the latest Bowling Green Weather information. Have a great day folks!