Interesting Bowling Green Weather Upcoming

Real time Bowling Green Weather Radar


Yesterday’s Weather

Yesterday was hot. As in, way hotter than average. We had some surface southwesterly flow develop, kicking out temps into the upper 80s. 87 was the exact high, which is something our forecast team had been on for a couple days (*high fives everyone*).

Yesterday's climate report. h/t NWS Louisville
Yesterday’s climate report. h/t NWS Louisville

Forecast Summary

Today: Hot and breezy, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. Highs around 91°F. Overnight, anticipate partly cloudy skies and lows around 69°F.

  • Wake up: ☀️  72°F
  • Lunch hour: ☀️/🌤  87°F
  • School is out: ☀️/🌤/🔥  91°F
  • Evening time:☀️/🌤  86°F

Tomorrow: Not as warm, with increasing clouds through the day. Highs around 84°F. Overnight, anticipate cloudy skies developing, with isolated showers. Lows around 64°F.

  • Wake up: 🌤  70°F
  • Lunch hour: 🌤  83°F
  • School is out: 🌤/⛅️  84°F
  • Evening time: 🌥  82°F

Thursday: Cloudy, with rainfall. Highs around 72°F. Overnight, look for showers early, with cloudy skies remaining. Lows around 47°F.

  • Wake up: ☁️/🌧  65°F
  • Lunch hour:☁️/🌧  70°F
  • School is out:☁️/🌧  72°F
  • Evening time:☁️/🌧  69°F

Discussion

Well, this forecast time period is certainly more interesting than many that I have had recently. Lets see…we could see record highs, rainfall, low 70s for highs and 40s for lows all during the next three days. That is pretty wild!

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

The general pattern that is afflicting us is actually kinda odd. We are under the influence of an anomalous mid level ridge, and this is affecting much of the eastern and southeastern US.

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

However, this isn’t the inherent root of our hot temperatures this week. What has happened is that a high pressure system has formed at the surface across the southeastern, and this is in relatively close proximity to an intense surface low across southern Canada. This low is due to a strong but unamplified shortwave that propagated within the strong mid level flow just to our north.

Surface analysis from the SPC this morning. h/t pivotalweather.com
Surface analysis from the SPC this morning. h/t pivotalweather.com

This low is expected to propagate northeastward through the timespan, bringing a weak cold front towards our region. Today, that will increase the surface southwesterly flow. This is what has really warmed us up. Southwesterly flow is efficient at advecting warmer temperatures at the surface, and thus, warming us up more than is expected.

The HRRR indicating that the winds should pick up quite a bit around midday. h/t pivotalweather.com
The HRRR indicating that the winds should pick up quite a bit around midday. h/t pivotalweather.com
h/t giphy
h/t giphy

Expect windy conditions today, with sustained winds approach 20-25 mph occasionally. By tomorrow, though, the surface low will have moved off to our northeast, and will leave the surface pressure gradient much weaker. This will allow temps to relax a bit, but also a new trough will be approaching, so that will help.

This trough will ultimately create an interesting Thursday and cool weekend. h/t pivotalweather.com
This trough will ultimately create an interesting Thursday and cool weekend. h/t pivotalweather.com

This is the real weather maker this week. Anticipate this trough to increase cloud cover across the region by Wednesday night, and force precipitation by Thursday. We are primed for our first good rainfall in quite sometime. Moisture in the lower levels of the atmosphere looks to return, and PWATs should be higher than normal. So, anticipate a rainy and cool Thursday.

The NAM's solution has rainfall on Thursday, as does the GFS'. h/t pivotalweather.com
The NAM’s solution has rainfall on Thursday, as does the GFS’. h/t pivotalweather.com
This is how excited I am. h/t giphy.com
This is how excited I am. h/t giphy.com

This trough will then propagate through, ushering in a nice cool down for Thursday night and beyond. So, what does this mean? Today’s key points:

  • Today will be hot. There will likely be some temperature records broken, and it will be really windy.
  • Tomorrow looks cooler, and boring. Sort of a transition day, with increasing clouds.
  • Thursday will be gloomy and cool.
  • Rainfall amounts will likely be in the .5″-1″ range, which is needed.
  • Thursday night begins a much needed cool down.

Extended Outlook

Its gonna get much cooler! I am excited about this. After Thursday, temps look to drop into the lower 60s, perhaps even upper 50s, for highs across the region. That is perfect for a pumpkin patch visit, or just staying inside and enjoying a nice bowl of chili.


Thats all I have for ya! Thanks for checking into WxOrNotBG this morning, and be sure to follow @WxOrNotBG and @WKUweather on Twitter and like Landon Hampton on Facebook for the latest Bowling Green Weather information. Have a great day folks!