Storms Possible for Bowling Green Weather

Real-time Bowling Green Weather Radar


Yesterday’s Weather

As expected, yesterday was fairly hot across the region. At this point, I have been so bored with forecast for this that I am not really sure what to say about it. It was hot. Humid. Horrible-feeling. Awful? Who knows. Bad. If I had more adjectives, I would list them. Otherwise, I am sick of it being 94°F outside.

Yesterday's climate report. h/t NWS Louisville
Yesterday’s climate report. h/t NWS Louisville

Forecast Summary

Today: Partly cloudy, with an isolated thunderstorm. Highs around 91°F. Overnight, expect isolated storms, with lows around 69°F.

  • Bus stop: ☀️  70°F
  • Lunch hour: 🌤  89°F
  • School is out: 🌤  91°F
  • Evening time: 🌤/⛈  88°F

Tomorrow: Partly cloudy, with isolated storms. Highs around 90°F. Overnight, look for partly cloudy skies, with lows around 68°F.

  • Bus stop: 🌤  70°F
  • Lunch hour: 🌤 /⛈ 88°F
  • School is out: 🌤/⛈  90°F
  • Evening time: 🌤/⛈  87°F

Saturday: Partly cloudy, with scattered storms by the afternoon. Highs around 89°F. Overnight, look for clearing, with lows around 57°F.

  • Wake up: 🌤  70°F
  • Lunch hour: 🌤/⛈  87°F
  • Evening time: 🌤/⛈  88°F

Discussion

It definitely looks more active for this forecast period, that is for sure!

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

I am pretty excited about that. Saturday looks to be the primary active day during this forecast period, so I’ll first look at Thursday/Friday, and then discuss Saturday.

For today and tomorrow, the ridge that has been plaguing out region recently will largely be weakening and pushing slowly to our south and to our east.

The ridge is weaker and to our southeast tomorrow morning. h/t pivotalweather.com
The ridge is weaker and to our southeast tomorrow morning. h/t pivotalweather.com

This will allow for small shortwaves to propagate into and through the region, giving us chances at rainfall for the first time in what feels like 3 weeks. Today’s storm chances come in the form of a fairly week cold front propagating southward slowly. I’m not totally buying that it makes it here to give us showers/storms.

I'm skeptical. h/t giphy.com
I’m skeptical. h/t giphy.com

Still, I think there is an isolated threat. We don’t need much to force some isolated storms, so watch for that going into the evening and overnight hours. Highs today should be in the lower 90s, and lows tonight should be in the upper 60s under partly cloudy skies and a chance at storms.

Some of the guidance is pointing towards the weak cold front actually making it here by tomorrow morning, and then the models develop some scattered storms by midday and around noon tomorrow. I’m not totally sure about this scenario, but I accounted for it in my forecast because it would make sense if that scenario played out.

The hi-res NAM is pointing towards the possibility of storms tomorrow morning. h/t pivotalweather.com
The hi-res NAM is pointing towards the possibility of storms tomorrow morning. h/t pivotalweather.com

The models that show that scenario tend to pull the weak/left over front northward as a warm front after that, in association with the developing low pressure system across the Plains. Highs tomorrow look to increase into the lower 90s. Overnight tomorrow, look for partly cloudy skies, with lows in the upper 60s.

The highs for Friday from the NAM. h/t pivotalweather.com
The highs for Friday from the NAM. h/t pivotalweather.com

Saturday looks to be the more interesting of all of the days.

giphy-1
h/t giphy.com

A fairly strong and deep trough will dig into the central portion of the United States, and will begin to force a surface low across the upper Midwest. This will propagate into the central and upper portions of the Great Lakes Saturday, moving into southeastern Canada by Saturday night. To its southwest, there looks to be a cold front dragging across the Ohio Valley region.

The NAM showing the strong low to our north, and the cold front moving into the region Saturday. h/t pivotalweather.com
The NAM showing the strong low to our north, and the cold front moving into the region Saturday. h/t pivotalweather.com

With temperatures rising into the upper 80s and lower 90s region-wide, and with dewpoints rising back into the 70s, look for some instability to develop along the front. This should be enough to spark scattered thunderstorms along the cold front as it pushes through the region.

The NAM is showing the possibility of scattered storms along the cold front. h/t pivotalweather.com
The NAM is showing the possibility of scattered storms along the cold front. h/t pivotalweather.com

Overnight Saturday, expect clearing, with lows tanking into the mid and upper 50s.


Extended Outlook

A fantastic airmass looks to move into the region by Sunday morning after the cold front on Saturday propagates through the region. This will allow for temps to likely remain in the upper 70s on Sunday, which means I will use my favorite GIF to describe my excitement for that.

This is how excited I am. h/t giphy.com
This is how excited I am. h/t giphy.com

Thats all I have for ya! Thanks for checking into WxOrNotBG this morning, and be sure to follow@WxOrNotBG and @WKUweather on Twitter and like Landon Hampton on Facebook for the latest Bowling Green Weather information. Have a great day folks!