"Groundhog Day" in August Bowling Green Weather

Real-Time Bowling Green Weather Radar

Yesterday’s Weather

Ahh, another day that really avoided storms across the region. The main forcing again lay to our west, so guess where the rain and storms were? To our west! Highs made it into the lower 90s across the region, with very little precip in BG.

Yesterday's climate report. h/t NWS Louisville — Yesterday’s climate report. h/t NWS Louisville

Forecast Summary

Today: Scattered storms, with a few that could be strong. Highs around 87°F. Overnight, look for storms to dwindle, with lows around 71°F.

Bus stop: ⛅️ 75°F
Lunch hour: ⛅️/⛈ 86°F
School lets out: ⛅️/⛈ 87°F
Evening time: ⛅️/⛈ 84°F

Tomorrow: Partly to mostly cloudy, with scattered thunderstorms. Highs around 81°F. Overnight, look for skies to remain partly cloudy, with lows around 70°F.

Bus stop: 🌤 72°F
Lunch hour: ⛅️ 79°F
School lets out: ⛅️/⛈ 81°F
Evening time: ⛅️/⛈ 80°F

Thursday: Partly cloudy, with highs around 88°F. Overnight, look for similar conditions, with lows around 70°F.

Bus stop: 🌤 72°F
Lunch hour: 🌤/⛅️ 85°F
School lets out: 🌤/⛅️ 88°F
Evening time: 🌤 86°F

Discussion

Ahh, don’t we just love summer time? I have forecasted storms so much this summer, I feel like I’m in the movie, “Groundhog Day”.

Change winter to summer and you have it right, Bill Murray. h/t giphy.com

I am not a fan, as we’ll get days like today that are just kinda boring forecasts. I would do a GIF forecast, but there are some important things to convey today. So, as has been mentioned the past several days, there is a weak frontal boundary to our northwest, and it is finally about to move south and eastward.

The mean sea level pressure field this morning, per SPC. The blue line indicates approximately where the front is. h/t SPC

What does this mean? Showers and thunderstorms this afternoon! As the front approaches a warm and humid airmass this afternoon, thunderstorms should blossom and become widespread.

Instability parameters look good for thunderstorms this afternoon. h/t http://wrf.nssl.noaa.gov//newsite/

The WRF model (a high resolution weather model) shows widespread storms across the region. h/t http://wrf.nssl.noaa.gov//newsite/

While the threat for severe weather isn’t too high, the SPC does have us outlined within a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms. The highest threats from these storms will be heavy rainfall, lightning and damaging winds.

The SPC's outlook for today. h/t SPC — The SPC’s outlook for today. h/t SPC

Highs today will be up and in the mid 80s before the storms form. Overnight, look for partly cloudy skies, with lows in the lower 70s.

Wednesday will be fairly similar, but I don’t see thunderstorms being as widespread across the region. The main forcing that we are seeing move through our region currently should be near us, or just to our east tomorrow. This should lead to storms being more isolated across the region.

Isolated storms near the region, but nothing widespread. h/t pivotalweather.com

Highs tomorrow should only end up in the lower 80s, and I mean, how great does that sound?

Temperatures tomorrow afternoon from the NAM. h/t pivotalweather.com

Overnight tomorrow night, skies will be partly cloudy, with lows in the lower 70s. On Thursday, the weather will be fairly nice again!

You can go outside to play tetherball! h/t giphy.com

We’ll be behind the front on Thursday, and with lower PWAT values, the moisture content in the atmosphere will be lower, yielding a less unstable atmosphere. This will help to keep pop up storms during the afternoon hours under control. Highs should end up in the mid and upper 80s.

Temperatures Thursday afternoon from the NAM. h/t pivotalweather.com

Overnight, look for skies to be partly cloudy, with lows in the lower 70s.

Extended Outlook

The 6-10 day outlook from the CPC is about as nice as I have seen it in a long time. After a stronger cold front moves through this weekend, a cooler and drier airmass looks to move into the region.

The CPC's 6-10 day temperature outlook. h/t CPC — The CPC’s 6-10 day temperature outlook. h/t CPC

The CPC's 6-10 day outlook for precipitation. h/t CPC — The CPC’s 6-10 day outlook for precipitation. h/t CPC

Thats all I have for ya! Thanks for checking into WxOrNotBG this morning, and be sure to follow @WxOrNotBG and @WKUweather on Twitter and like Landon Hampton on Facebook for the latest Bowling Green Weather information. Have a great day folks!