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Real-time Radar
Yesterday’s Weather
Yesterday’s weather was a fairly welcome surprise to many, as we finally made it above 32°F. We hadn’t been above the freezing mark for approximately 111 hours. Yes, you read that right. It had been a very cold few days. This week looks to be the opposite of that.
Forecast Summary
Today: Mostly cloudy, very windy and warmer. *Wind Advisory until 6 PM*. Showers likely by this evening. Highs around 59°F. Overnight, look for showers, with winds dying down. Lows around 48°F.
- Bus stop: ☁️ 48°F
- Lunch hour: ☁️ 52°F
- School is out: ☁️/🌧 59°F
- Evening time: ☁️/🌧 53°F
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy, with rainfall likely during the late morning into the afternoon. Highs around 66°F. Overnight, don’t expect much cooling, with windy conditions and showers. Lows around 64°F.
- Bus stop: ☁️ 48°F
- Lunch hour: ☁️/🌧 53°F
- School is out: ☁️/🌧 58°F
- Evening time: ☁️/🌧 63°F
Thursday: Mostly cloudy, with isolated showers. Breezy; with highs around 72°F. Overnight, look for cloudy skies and showers/isolated thunderstorms, with lows around 45°F.
- Bus stop: 🌥 64°F
- Lunch hour: 🌥 67°F
- School is out: 🌥 72°F
- Evening time: ☁️/🌧 67°F
Discussion
Phew, this forecast is looking like a doozy! Windy and warm weather has made it to the region, and it looks to stay for the next couple of days. You would think with the passage of one system we would escape at least the winds, but it doesn’t look like that!
Analysis of the atmosphere reveals that we are looking at a fairly intense shortwave trough just upstream of our region, with its trough axis centered over western South Dakota and Nebraska, extending southward into southern Kansas.
This is associated with a jet streak that has its exit region placed over the central US, and this is fostering a surface low pressure system. This low pressure system is located at the nose of the upper level jet streak, over northwestern Missouri, northeastern Kansas and portions of southern Iowa and Nebraska. This low will propagate with the upper level dynamics, moving into the upper Great Lakes by this evening.
This will do a couple of things. One, it will drag a cold front behind it and through our region. This will be our primary forcing for showers this evening as moisture streams into the region. Two, this low will continue to meet up with a strong high pressure centered to its east over the northern Atlantic and back into the southeast. This will create a very tight pressure gradient today.
Look for wind gusts today to consistently be in the 35-45 mph range, and because of this, we are under a Wind Advisory until 6 PM. Be sure to tie down all loose outdoor furniture, so that they don’t, you know, become airborne projectiles.
The cold front will kinda clear the area by tomorrow, but not for long. It looks to move back northward as a warm front in associated with another developing low to our west. This warm front will force an area of heavy precipitation on its northern side, and that looks to move through during the late morning, and into the afternoon.
This will usher in a drastically new environment, as the new low develops and mashes up with high pressure (still holding fairly true to our east; that stubborn thing). This will begin a pretty wild period of southwesterly flow. Temps will warm up Wednesday afternoon through Thursday night. They look to rise all day on Wednesday, with the high likely occurring at midnight, in the mid 60s. That same temperature may also be Thursday’s low.
I know, its wild. Southwesterly flow does some very odd stuff, but this looks pretty likely to occur. And that high of 72°F on Thursday afternoon? It could be underestimated, especially if the weak frontal boundary is slow getting into the region.
By Thursday night, at the latest, the weak cold front will have made it into the region. This will bring with it cooler temperatures, and a threat for an extended period of showers and rainfall along it. This weak frontal boundary will extend to our west, as well, and will have plenty of moisture to work with in a favorable region of the upper level jet. So, expect consistent precip heading into Friday.
There is a chance that the cold air is able to advance further south into our region, and cause some forecast headaches on Friday-Saturday, but it is too early to know whether or not that occurs. Even so, heavy rainfall is expected this week (as seen above).
Today’s Key Points
- Very windy today and Wednesday night through Thursday night
- Warmth is a constant this week through Friday
- Sight cool down by Wednesday morning, only to warm quickly
- 70s are possible on Thursday
- Rain, rain, and oh, yeah, more rain!
- Wintry threat by the weekend? Potential is low, but we’ll see
Thats all I have for ya! Thanks for checking into WxOrNotBG this morning, and be sure to follow @wxornotBG and @WKUweather on Twitter and like Landon Hampton on Facebook for the latest Bowling Green Weather information. Have a great day folks!