Stormy Bowling Green Weather on the Way

Real-time Bowling Green Weather Radar


Yesterday’s Weather

Well, yesterday was (again) an 90 degree day. I’m tired of the 90s. The decade may have been good, but the temperatures aren’t working too well for me. I’m ready for the 70s, 60s, 50s, 40s, etc. Just something that doesn’t make me feel like I’m gonna catch on fire when I go outside.

Yesterday's climate report. h/t NWS Louisville
Yesterday’s climate report. h/t NWS Louisville

Forecast Summary

Today: Partly cloudy skies, with scattered storms this afternoon. Highs around 89°F. Overnight, look for partly cloudy skies, with lows around 70°F. 

  • Bus stop: ☀️  69°F
  • Lunch hour: 🌤  86°F
  • School is out: 🌤/⛈  89°F
  • Evening time: 🌤/⛈  85°F

Tomorrow: Partly cloudy, with highs in and around 86°F. Overnight, look for partly cloudy skies, with lows around 71°F.

  • Wake up: 🌤  72°F
  • Lunch hour: 🌤/⛈  84°F
  • Evening time: 🌤/⛈  83°F

Sunday: Partly cloudy, with scattered afternoon storms. Highs around 84°F. Overnight, look for mostly clear skies, with lows around 63°F.

  • Wake up: 🌤  72°F
  • Lunch hour: 🌤/⛈  81°F
  • Evening time: 🌤/⛈  82°F

Discussion

This forecast was a bit challenging to make, but also was just kinda monotonous.

This forecast looks like it is on loop like this gif and tetherball. h/t giphy
This forecast looks like it is on loop like this gif and tetherball. h/t giphy

At least we have storms in the forecast! I am excited about that for once. Looking at the overall flow of the atmosphere, it makes sense to expect an active period the next few days.

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

Overall, the atmosphere likely won’t be doing any extremes or showing us any extremes the next few days. It will be fairly non-boring, but not crazy. There is currently a trough over the northern Plains states, and this is forcing a weak and broad surface low across that same region.

The trough across the northern Plains this morning is denoted by the black, dashed line. h/t SPC
The trough across the northern Plains this morning is denoted by the black, dashed line. h/t SPC
The Surface low is easily distinguishable across the northern Plains, but it is broad and weak.
The Surface low is easily distinguishable across the northern Plains, but it is broad and weak.

This I will get to in a second. Closer to home, the mid-level flow has become generally southwesterly as that weak trough pushes up against the ridge to its east. This will act as a medium for weak, but effective forcing mechanisms to travel through today, especially. We should see a couple of weak shortwaves propagate towards and through the region, forcing scattered thunderstorms this afternoon.

The hi-res NAM showing the potential for storms this afternoon. h/t pivotalweather.com
The hi-res NAM showing the potential for storms this afternoon. h/t pivotalweather.com

Highs will reach the upper 80s. Overnight, look for partly cloudy skies with lows in the lower 70s. To start off your weekend, we’ll see weather very similar to that of today’s.

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

The trough will be approaching, but won’t really start impacting us completely until Sunday. However, the southwesterly flow in the mid levels of the atmosphere will advect more weak forcing mechanisms into the region, which will force more thunderstorms across the area.

Vorticity, which is just a forcing mechanism, will be propagating through the region, likely sparking some storms. h/t pivotalweather.com
Vorticity, which is just a forcing mechanism, will be propagating through the region, likely sparking some storms. h/t pivotalweather.com
The hi-res NAM showing the potential for scattered storms tomorrow. h/t pivotalweather.com
The hi-res NAM showing the potential for scattered storms tomorrow. h/t pivotalweather.com

Highs tomorrow should reach the mid to upper 80s, with lows overnight falling into the lower 70s again. Sunday looks to finally be the day.

giphy-6
h/t giphy.com

The cold front associated with the trough looks to finally make an appearance across the region, and will likely spark some showers and storms along it. This front is looking to be a slow mover, so it may be even slower than Sunday afternoon. However, that is the current timing of the guidance.

The NAM model showing the potential for storms Sunday evening. h/t pivotalweather.com
The NAM model showing the potential for storms Sunday evening. h/t pivotalweather.com

Highs on Sunday should only be in the low to mid 80s, so it won’t feel terrible. Overnight Sunday, look for mostly clear skies and lows in the lower 60s.


Extended Outlook

In the long term, the pattern looks to favor warmer than average temperatures, which is what the CPC is forecasting across the region.

The CPC's 6-10 day temperature outlook. h/t CPC
The CPC’s 6-10 day temperature outlook. h/t CPC

Thats all I have for ya! Thanks for checking into WxOrNotBG this morning, and be sure to follow @WxOrNotBG and @WKUweather on Twitter and like Landon Hampton on Facebook for the latest Bowling Green Weather information. Have a great day folks!