Storm Chances Increasing for Bowling Green Weather

Real-Time Bowling Green Radar


Yesterday’s Weather

Yesterday had some of the best weather we have seen in a few weeks. With northerly flow behind a weak front, we saw a drier airmass settle over SoKY and much of the western part of the state. My forecast for yesterday on Sunday wasn’t very good, but Jacob Wilkins knocked it out of the park.

Yesterday's climate report. h/t NWS Louisville
Yesterday’s climate report. h/t NWS Louisville

Forecast Summary

Today: Partly cloudy, with scattered storms. Highs around 88°F. Overnight, look for the scattered storm threat to continue, with lows around 74°F.

  • Wake up: 🌤  75°F
  • Lunch hour: ⛅️/⛈  86°F
  • School’s Out: ⛅️/⛈ 88°F
  • Evening time: ⛅️/⛈  87°F

Tomorrow: Partly to mostly cloudy, with scattered storms. Highs around 89°F. Overnight, look for isolated storms to continue, with lows around 75°F.

  • Wake up: 🌤  75°F
  • Lunch hour: ⛅️/⛈  86°F
  • School’s out: ⛅️/⛈  89°F
  • Evening time: ⛅️/⛈  88°F

Thursday: Mostly cloudy skies, with scattered storms. Highs around 88°F. Overnight, look for partly cloud skies, and isolated storm chances. Lows will be around 75°F.

  • Wake up: ⛅️  76°F
  • Lunch hour: ⛅️/⛈  85°F
  • School’s out: ⛅️/⛈  88°F
  • Evening time: ⛅️/⛈  86°F

Discussion

The next few days look fairly interesting across the region!

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

That is both exciting, and not exciting. Its exciting because of the storms we’ll see, but it isn’t exciting because of the return of the humidity.

h/t giphy
h/t giphy

The basic set up over the next few days will feature weak mid-level flow across the region, with a pronounced, and occasionally closed, low level low across the Gulf Coast to our south.

The NAM's 850 mb height forecast for this afternoon. h/t pivotalweather.com
The NAM’s 850 mb height forecast for this afternoon. h/t pivotalweather.com

This will pump deep and rich Gulf moisture into the region beginning today, with PWAT values likely climbing well above 2″ and remaining in that ballpark through the forecast period.

The precipitable water values pumped into the region this afternoon will be high. h/t pivotalweather.com
The precipitable water values pumped into the region this afternoon will be high. h/t pivotalweather.com

The southeasterly flow associated with this Gulf low will run into a weak surface and low level trough, and this will help to spark off scattered storms today. Any storms that form will be capable of heavy rainfall and lightning. Highs will end up in the mid to upper 80s this afternoon.

The HRRR shows the threat for storms this afternoon. h/t pivotalweather.com
The HRRR shows the threat for storms this afternoon. h/t pivotalweather.com

Overnight, we’ll see partly cloudy skies, with isolated storms. Lows will end up in the mid 70s. Wednesday looks to have a similar set up.

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

With southeasterly flow in the mid-levels, this will help to force scattered afternoon storms across the region. Again, with deep and rich moisture values across the region, heavy rainfall and flash flooding will be the highest threats, with lightning being a threat as well.

The NAM's forecast radar on Wednesday afternoon, showing the threat for storms. h/t pivotalweather.com
The NAM’s forecast radar on Wednesday afternoon, showing the threat for storms. h/t pivotalweather.com

Highs will end up in the upper 80s across the region. Overnight, look for isolated storms to continue, with lows in the mid 70s. Thursday looks a bit more interesting.

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

In addition to a bit of a northward advancement of the Gulf low and associated moisture, a shortwave will be moving towards the region, and will enhance precipitation chances again.

The NAM's 850 mb height forecast for Thursday. The trough will be approaching the region, helping to enhance a storm threat. h/t pivotalweather.com
The NAM’s 850 mb height forecast for Thursday. The trough will be approaching the region, helping to enhance a storm threat. h/t pivotalweather.com

Heavy rainfall will be an issue again. Highs will end up in the mid to upper 80s.

Temperatures on Thursday afternoon from the NAM. h/t pivotalweather.com
Temperatures on Thursday afternoon from the NAM. h/t pivotalweather.com

Overnight, look for skies to be partly cloudy, with scattered storms remaining possible. Lows in the mid 70s.


Extended Outlook

Looking in the long range, period beyond Thursday through the weekend looks fairly stormy, with storm chances likely everyday through early next week.

The precipitation forecast for the next 7 days. h/t WPC
The precipitation forecast for the next 7 days. h/t WPC

Thats all I have for ya! Thanks for checking into WxOrNotBG this morning, and be sure to follow @WxOrNotBG and @WKUweather on Twitter and like Landon Hampton on Facebook for the latest Bowling Green Weather information. Have a great day folks!