I have come to the conclusion that I post way too much about the tropics. I am no expert in tropical meteorology, I wouldn’t even call myself an amateur. Tropical Meteorology is a much different animal than mid-latitude meteorology, and as such, it is difficult for me to apply my knowledge of mid-latitude meteorology to tropical meteorology. However, in light of that, I will be establishing a weekly post about the Tropics. Whether is be the eastern Pacific or the Atlantic or the western Pacific, the Tropics are fairly active around this time of the year. So, without further ado, I give you the first installment of: The Week in Tropical Weather.
Much like last week, the tropical Atlantic is boring as ever. We went another week without anything occurring in the Atlantic basin, and it is just boring to watch.
However, the eastern Pacific? Holy moly. Since July 1st, the count is now up to eight named storms, with four becoming hurricanes. I detailed a couple of those last week, but I mean… this is a bit ridiculous at this point. Eight named storms in 3 weeks! That is wild!
We left off last week with Tropical Storm Estelle, and I thought that it look pretty poor in terms of organization. Well, it wasn’t organized well, and weakened over the few days after that.
Since then, we have had Hurricane Darby strike Hawaii as a Tropical storm, and producing significant flooding across the region. Darby has been churning across the eastern and central Pacific since July 11, but should be nothing more than a remnant low by tomorrow evening.
Tropical Storm Frank has been somewhat of a weak storm throughout its life, and I think has struggled within cooler waters for much of its life. With eight storms forming within the same general regions within the past three weeks, the water is bound to get churned up and cooled down. Frank is expected to continue gradually weakening as it moves to the northwest.
Now we get to Hurricane Georgette, which has been weakening fairly rapidly over the past day or so. Hurricane Georgette got up to Category 4 strength yesterday, and has now fallen to a 110 mph Category Two, with much worse structure.
Based on T 6.0 expect Hurricane Georgette to be 115 knots and Cat 4 next NHC advisory
Rapid intensification pic.twitter.com/F0KUYd9AEf— Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) July 25, 2016
Georgette is expected to continue weakening as it moves off to the northwest over the next few days.