Storms Looking Possible for Bowling Green Weather

Real-time Bowling Green Weather Radar


Yesterday’s Weather

I have run out of adjectives to describe what went down in a 24 hour period from 6 PM Wednesday through 6 PM yesterday. It was just wild.

Yesterday's climate report. h/t NWS Louisville
Yesterday’s climate report. h/t NWS Louisville

We had highs in he upper 80s, and another severe thunderstorm complex roll through. I had a large WxRecap post about all of this, so be sure to check that out.


Forecast Summary

Today: Partly to mostly cloudy, with scattered to widespread thunderstorms. Some may be severe. Highs should be around 88°F. Overnight, look for isolated storms, with lows around 75°F.

  • Wake up: 🌤/🌩  76°F
  • Lunch hour: ⛈/⛅️  84°F
  • Evening time:🌤/🌩  83°F

Tomorrow: Partly cloudy, with an isolated chance at a thunderstorm. Highs around 88°F. Overnight, look for mostly clear skies, with lows around 71°F.

  • Wake up:🌤  76°F
  • Lunch hour:🌤/🌩  87°F
  • Evening time: 🌤  84°F

Sunday: Partly cloudy, with scattered storms by the afternoon. Highs around 90°F. Overnight, look for the threat of storms again, with lows around 70°F.

  • Wake up: 🌤  72°F
  • Lunch hour: 🌤/⛈  88°F
  • Evening time: 🌤/🌩  86°F

Discussion

I am exhausted. I don’t know if you all feel that too, but I am glad that it is Friday. First of all, today look very similar to the past two days. To start off the day, we have a decaying MCS just to our north and west.

The MCS off to our northwest. h/t Radarscope
The MCS off to our northwest. h/t Radarscope

Guess how different that is from yesterday and Tuesday? It isn’t! However, the timing and speed of this MCS isn’t similar, and so it shouldn’t be an issue for wind damage or flooding. Despite that, we are under a Flash Flood Watch until 11 PM this evening.

We run the risk of severe thunderstorms forming, and any heavy rainfall occurring across the region with aggravate flooding issues across the region. We will be in the warm sector of a southeastward moving cold front, and this will bring a severe weather threat to the region.

The NAM's surface temp forecast for this afternoon. The cold front is annotated in blue. h/t SPC
The NAM’s surface temp forecast for this afternoon. The cold front is annotated in blue. h/t SPC
The hi-res NAM radar forecast for this evening, showing the possibility of thunderstorms. h/t pivotalweather.com
The hi-res NAM radar forecast for this evening, showing the possibility of thunderstorms. h/t pivotalweather.com

As sunshine comes out after the early morning MCS, surface temperatures will likely heat up into the mid and upper 80s, and with dewpoints in the 70s, an unstable atmosphere will likely form. Because of this, the Storm Prediction Center has placed us in a Slight Risk.

h/t SPC
h/t SPC

We’ll keep you all up to date as we move through the day. Overnight, but wary of isolated storms remaining, with lows in the mid 70s.

Tomorrow looks much less interesting, as the cold front will have moved to our south.

The dewpoint forecast for tomorrow afternoon from the NAM. The cold front is to our south. h/t pivotalweather.com
The dewpoint forecast for tomorrow afternoon from the NAM. The cold front is to our south. h/t pivotalweather.com

This will usher in a relatively modified air mass, and will keep storms that do form from being widespread. Highs will likely end up in the upper 80s. I am excited about this, because I have officially raised the white flags to the atmosphere and am tired of severe weather and have given up.

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

Overnight on Saturday, look for mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with lows falling into the lower 70s. Sunday….sigh.

h/t replygif.net
h/t replygif.net

Storm chances return. A low amplified trough will develop to our west during the day on Sunday, and will bring with it the threat for thunderstorms.

The forecast 500 mb heights from the NAM on Sunday evening. Check out that trough! h/t pivotalweather.com
The forecast 500 mb heights from the NAM on Sunday evening. Check out that trough! h/t pivotalweather.com
The NAM shows the possibility for storms on Sunday. h/t SPC
The NAM shows the possibility for storms on Sunday. h/t SPC

Look for highs around 90°F on Sunday, and overnight, there will be partly cloudy skies, with isolated storms. Lows in the lower 70s.


Extended Outlook

Looking in the long range, I like to go to the Climate Prediction Center to see their thoughts on the long range (they are the experts). Interestingly enough, over the next 6-10 days, they are expecting well above normal temperatures, and above normal precipitation.

The CPC forecast for the next 6-10 days. h/t CPC
The CPC temp forecast for the next 6-10 days. h/t CPC
The CPC precip forecast for the next 6-10 days. h/t CPC
The CPC precip forecast for the next 6-10 days. h/t CPC

Thats all I have for ya! Thanks for checking into WxOrNotBG this morning, and be sure to follow@WxOrNotBG on Twitter and like Landon Hampton on Facebook for the latest Bowling Green Weather information. Have a great day folks!