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Real-time Bowling Green Weather Radar
Yesterday’s Weather
Yesterday’s weather was fairly interesting, as a cold front pushed into and through the region, leading to some strong to isolated severe thunderstorms. There was a weak shear profile in place, leading to a lack of organization of the storms, and thus, weaker storms. Temps were warm before this, though, as highs hit 91°F, and my forecast was a horrible bust.
Forecast Summary
Today: Partly to mostly cloudy skies, with isolated storms. Highs around 94°F. Overnight, look for mostly cloudy skies, with lows falling to around 77°F.
- Wake up: 🌥 77°F
- Lunch hour: ⛅️ 89°F
- Evening time 🌤 🌩 86°F
Tomorrow: Partly cloudy, with scattered storms. Some could be strong to severe. Highs around 94°F. Overnight, look for clearing skies, with lows falling to around 74°F.
- Wake up: 🌤 79°F
- Lunch hour: ⛅️ ⛈ 90°F
- Evening time: 🌤 🌩 84°F
Friday: Partly cloudy, with isolated storms. Highs around 90°F. Overnight, look for partly cloudy skies, with an isolated storm being possible. Lows around 68°F.
- Wake up: 🌤 74°F
- Lunch hour: 🌤 ⛈ 90°F
- Evening time: 🌤 🌩 83°F
Discussion
Well, this has turned into quite a week!
I’m not gonna be very in-depth on the set up today, as the main event will likely be to our north. However, if you’re interested in reading it, my in-depth analysis is over in Weather 101.
Today is really interesting, though, as we are likely to start off the day under mostly cloudy conditions. An early day MCS has formed to our northwest, and is riding southeastward towards northern and central KY. This has overspread cloud cover across the region, and likely will continue to do so.
However, I don’t expect us to get any rain out of this, as the boundary it is riding is tight, and gives it plenty of lift and steering.
On our side of the front, things likely won’t be too interesting today. I think that cloud cover will hold temps down a bit, but with strong southwesterly flow this afternoon, I am expecting highs to reach the mid 90s.
This, in addition to dewpoints being in the 70s, will lead to a very unstable atmosphere across the region. Therefore, I wouldn’t be surprised to see an isolated storm in the afternoon. Overnight, I don’t see much happening with the MCS across the northern Ohio Valley moving to our north and northeast. Look for lows in the upper 70s.
Tomorrow looks hot, humid and stormy. What does that sound like? A lot of other days recently.
We are really in a more active pattern than we usually see during summer time, as cold fronts keep marching in and giving us a lifting mechanism for thunderstorms. Ahead of this front, an incredible amount of instability is forecast to form across the region.
This will allow for the front to fire up storms into a favorably unstable environment, but again, shear is definitely lacking. Because of that, I don’t really see this being a widespread event, but we will have to watch it tomorrow afternoon as any storm will be capable of damaging winds and hail.
Highs should be in the mid 90s. Overnight, I expect skies to clear, with lows falling into the mid 70s.
Friday should be the quietest day of week, relatively speaking. The cold front will have weakened, but passed through. The airmass it looks to leave in its wake won’t be too modified, but modified enough to remove the threat for anything but isolated storms on Friday afternoon/evening. Look for highs in the lower 90s.
Overnight, skies should remain partly cloudy, with lows in the upper 60s.
Extended Outlook
I have focused so much of my forecasting into the short-term that my long term outlook hasn’t been touched in a day or so. There are differences, but overall the GFS and ECMWF build a ridge in by the weekend, and look to establish at least partial troughing again by early next week.
Well, that is all I have for ya! Be sure to follow @WxOrNotBG on Twitter for the latest on the severe weather threat over the next few days! Have a good one!