Hot Bowling Green Weather Looks to Continue

Yesterday’s Weather

As I mentioned in last night’s WxRecap post, the weather yesterday was wild in a different way than Wednesday’s weather was. It was really, really hot outside, actually. Much hotter than Wednesday.

The highs from today across the state. h/t KY Mesonet
The highs from today across the state. h/t KY Mesonet

The high yesterday was 97°F according to our friends at the KY Mesonet (One degree above my forecast!), and we had scattered, severe thunderstorms form across the region last night. Isolated damage was reported, but nothing widespread.


Forecast Summary

Today: Partly cloudy early, with mostly sunny skies developing. Highs around 85°F. Overnight, skies will remain mostly clear, with lows around 66°F.

  • Wake up: ☀️ 71°F
  • Lunch hour: ☀️ 84°F
  • Evening time:  ☀️ 81°F

Tomorrow: Warmer, with mostly sunny skies. Highs around 88°F. Overnight, mostly clear skies, with lows around 65°F. 

  • Wake up: ☀️ 66°F
  • Lunch hour: ☀️ 87°F
  • Evening time:☀️ 85°F

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with highs around 88°F. Overnight, mostly clear skies will exist, with lows falling to around 67°F.

  • Wake up: ☀️ 66°F
  • Lunch hour: 🌤 85°F
  • Evening time:☀️ 84°F

Discussion

Well, I am rather sad that we are heading back into a much more quiet time frame, at least from today through Sunday.

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

A cold front passed through the region during the evening and overnight hours last night and ushered in a relatively modified airmass, but also some partly cloudy skies this morning. As we head into the afternoon, though, it isn’t gonna feel completely terrible like it has the past few days!

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

Highs look to end up in the mid and upper 80s, but the difference is likely going to be the lowering of dewpoints. Dewpoints look to stay only in the lower to mid 60s across the region, and while that isn’t super low, it will feel much better than the sauna we have been walking through recently.

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

Sunny skies will dominate, as high pressure at the surface builds in as well. Overnight, skies should remain clear, with lows in the mid 60s.

Tomorrow looks to be warmer, but also a but nicer too. What is looking to happen with the atmospheric flow over the next few days is that a trough is looking to retroactively build into the region underneath a relatively deamplifying ridge that will pivot its axis into eastern Canada.

500 mb heights from the NAM for this evening. The ridge is centered over southern Canada. h/t pivotalweather
500 mb heights from the NAM for this evening. The ridge is centered over southern Canada. h/t pivotalweather
The NAM 500 mb heights forecast for 12 hours later. The ridge flattens, and forces the trough over the southeastern coast to retroactively move towards us. h/t pivotalweather.com
The NAM 500 mb heights forecast for 12 hours later. The ridge flattens, and forces the trough over the southeastern coast to retroactively move towards us. h/t pivotalweather.com

This will lead to less moisture across the region, and this will come in conjunction with some higher temps on Saturday. This will allow the day to actually be bearable for once! I expect highs to end up in the upper 80s.

The hi-res NAM forecast temps for Saturday afternoon. I think it is a bit low on temps. h/t pivotalweather.com
The hi-res NAM forecast temps for Saturday afternoon. I think it is a bit low on temps. h/t pivotalweather.com

Overnight, skies will remain clear, with lows falling into the mid 60s. On Sunday, much of the same is expected. The ridge will begin to build in more, however, and I think this will lead to temps being a bit higher than model guidance is forecasting.

I think with a strong ridge moving into the region, the NAM is under doing temps on Sunday. h/t pivotalweather.com
I think with a strong ridge moving into the region, the NAM is under doing temps on Sunday. h/t pivotalweather.com

I have highs on Sunday reaching 88°F, but they could be higher as a strong ridge builds in. We’ll still be on the eastern side of it, though, with northwesterly flow continuing. That is why I am hesitant to up the temps more than I have. Overnight on Sunday, it is more of the same. Clear, with lows in the mid to upper 60s.


Extended Outlook

Looking at the extended outlook, it is looking interesting for sure. We are likely to remain on the eastern side of the strong ridge to our west, and this is key to the long term outlook. The long range models are pointing towards a pattern shift after the first of next week, as strong flow in the northern stream of the jet stream will help to amplify and deepen a trough across the eastern portion of the US.

The GFS model showing the potential for a deep trough across the eastern US next week. h/t pivotalweather.com
The GFS model showing the potential for a deep trough across the eastern US next week. h/t pivotalweather.com

This would lead to cooler and stormier conditions across the region.


Well, that is all I have for ya! Be sure to follow @WxOrNotBG on Twitter for the latest on Bowling Green Weather. Have a great weekend!