@wxornotBG Facebook
@wxornotBG Twitter
@wxornotBG Instagram
Real-time Bowling Green Weather Radar:
Today: Partly to mostly cloudy, with a chance of showers/storms. Highs around 85°F. Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy, with lows in and around 64°F.
Today’s forecast actually looks a bit more complicated than I expected it to be.
I’m not too thrilled about that, because I was expecting today to be ultra nice; but alas, weather is a fluid and every changing thing! The latest short term model guidance indicates a weaker area of showers moving into the region, with showers and storms possibly firing off this evening.
I have a hard time believing this, as the short term guidance performed very poorly overnight last night, but the HRRR has some support. Additionally, while there isn’t a ton of forcing mechanisms, there is a nice vorticity maximum moving eastward towards us. This helps force upward vertical motion, key for storms to form.
This is concerning for my high temp forecast, and for temp forecasts in general. I do expect us to hit the mid 80s, but look out for more cloud cover than I was forecasting for on Sunday.
This system should move off to the east overnight, but I wouldn’t be shocked to still see some clouds overnight, with a small chance of showers here and there. Lows in the mid 60s.
Tomorrow: Partly cloudy, with a chance of showers and storms. Highs around 87°F. Wed. night: Showers and storms remain possible. Lows around 66°F.
Wednesday looks to be one of the first truly hot days of the year across the region, and I am not excited about it.
By Wednesday morning, the region will be firmly entrenched in deep southwesterly flow, and we all know what this does.
Southwesterly flow tends to knock temperatures up a notch, but because of the showers and storms in the forecast, I only went with a high of 87°F. However, if we get a significant amount of sunshine, expect lower 90s across parts of the state within this regime.
One of the reasons I am not excited about this hotter weather is the return of fairly significant moisture values. Dewpoints on Wednesday should end up in the mid 60s by the afternoon, creating an incredibly uncomfortable feel outside.
This will create an unstable atmosphere to work with, and with weak mid and low level shortwaves rotating near the region, expect showers and storms to be a possibility.
Again, not everyone will see heavy rain or storms, but they will likely be present across the region. That being said, my confidence has decreased a bit in widespread storms occurring over a large area on Wednesday, as a lot of the better instability and forcing looks to be north of the region. We will, as always, keep you up to date here on the WxOrNotBG.
Overnight, showers and storms should remain a possibility, but not shouldn’t be prevalent across the region. Lows in the mid 60s.
Thursday: Partly cloudy, with scattered storms possible. Highs around 89°F. Thur. night: Storms still remain possible. Lows around 66°F.
This week continues to be odd to forecast for.
Thursday will be no different. Much like its two preceding days, we’ll be under the influence of a strong ridge centered across the southeast, but we will again be placed within strong southwesterly flow across the region.
I am hesitant to up the forecast to 90, but that is again a possibility on Thursday if we don’t see storms. Speaking of that, there will likely be some mid level forcing moving through an unstable region, providing a mechanism to fire off possible convection.
Much like Wednesday, I am not super confident that storms are widespread, but the confidence is a bit greater as the ridge begins to move eastward and we get closer to the primary trough. Highs will end up in the upper 80s.
Overnight, storms will remain a slight possibility, with partly cloudy skies otherwise. Lows in the mid 60s.
Well, that is all I have for you. Stay abreast of the latest info by checking into the site, and following @WxOrNotBG on Twitter! Have a great day!