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Real-time Bowling Green weather Radar:
Today: Mostly sunny early, with clouds increasing. Highs around 25ºF. Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with light snow possible by dawn. Lows around 20ºF.
Oh man, does winter have its grasp on us!
This has gotten almost annoying. I feel like we have seen nothing but snow and cold recently, and the pattern looks to continue into this weekend. We will be within cold northwesterly flow as our next weather maker begins to make its way toward us today.
Look for temps in the mid 20s, under increasingly cloudy skies. Wind chills will be in the teens for much of the day. The model below displays projected temp values at 3pm this afternoon:
By this evening, we should see mostly cloudy skies across the region. This will carry us into the overnight hours, with lows falling into the low 20s. Hit & miss, light snow will be possible by daybreak Sunday.
Tomorrow: Cloudy, with snowfall likely. Highs around 34ºF. Sunday night: Cloudy, with a rain/snow mix likely. lows around 31ºF.
*Winter Weather Advisory for all of south central Kentucky from Sunday morning through Monday morning*
Ahhh, the classic tough forecast. I love it!
This one looks to be particularly tough. Our next weather maker will bring more abundant cloud cover early Sunday, but we won’t see sensible impacts until mid to late morning. The models seem to be pretty consistent on placement and strength of the potential snow band on Sunday afternoon and evening, which makes this easier. Nevertheless, it’s still a very tough forecast.
We’re looking at a shortwave trough moving into the region, and we’ll be placed favorably within it to have precip occur. The model below put the shortwave trough off to our northwest at 6AM Sunday:
Given the retreating Arctic high, this precip will be falling into a pretty cold column of air. This should allow for precip to remain all snow Sunday through early Monday. This is where the forecast gets interesting.
We’ll generally be in the warm sector of a low pressure system. We likely won’t see our high til midnight, and then our overnight low will likely occur around midnight as well. There looks to be a consistent warming trend through Monday.
Based on the latest analysis, I would go with initial values of 1-3″ of snowfall across the region. Localized areas could see 4+”. Now, there is plenty of time for that to change, but that is what I have. For comparison, here is what the NWS Louisville has currently:
Look for your temps to be in the 20s most of the day, with highs warming by the evening, and eventually maxing out around the low/mid 30s. Lows will likely end up in that range as well. Travel will more than likely suffer from this, at least through certain periods of the day. With temps hovering around the freezing threshold, it will hard to pinpoint.
Monday: Cloudy, with a rain/snow showers possible. High around 41ºF. Mon. night: Partly to mostly cloudy, with lows falling to around 33ºF.
Monday is going to be really interesting. It looks like whatever snowfall we get on Sunday will likely be gone, but there is another outside shot at wintry precip. The models drastically differ on strength, location and timing right now, so nothing is a safe bet. Overall, you can definitely expect Monday to be a bit warmer than it has been recently, with highs in the upper 30s/low 40s.
Look for a chance of rain/snow showers, especially early on in the day. Overnight, skies should become a bit clearer, with lows falling into the lower 30s. A major warm up ensues, with values topping out near 60˚ by the end of the work week!
That’s all that I have for now. Be sure to follow @WxOrNotBG on Twitter for the latest info on the upcoming snow event! Have a good one!