Sunday Afternoon Weather Update

Real Time Bowling Green Weather Radar:


This Evening – Isolated Strong Storms; Windy; Hot – Low 73°

Isolated strong storms have been forming to the east of the region throughout the day this afternoon. These storms have been slowly drifting to the southeast. Additional thunderstorms may form during the evening hours, however these should remain isolated in nature. A few storms may be strong to severe with heavy rain, and damaging wind being the main threat. Refer to the radar image above for thunderstorms across the area.

The Storm Prediction Center continues to include the Bowling Green area in a “marginal” risk of severe weather through this evening.

Severe Weather Outlook - Valid This Evening - Storm Prediction Center
Severe Weather Outlook – Valid This Evening – Storm Prediction Center

Storms should diminish during the overnight hours. Conditions have been fairly windy across the region with sustained winds between 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 to 20 mph. These winds will continue into the overnight, with a low temperature around 73°.

Monday 7/13 – Strong to Severe Storms; Hot – High 93° / Mon Night – Strong to Severe Storms – Low 76°

A shortwave trough will approach the region from the north. This will be embedded in an area of unstable air due the warm, moist air in the region. This may spark off strong storms across the region. These should be relatively isolated in nature. However, they will form in a sheared, unstable atmosphere conducive for supercell thunderstorms. Thus, large hail, damaging wind, and tornadoes may be possible during the afternoon hours.

Hi-Res NAM Forecast Instability - Valid Monday Evening - owxdata.com
Hi-Res NAM Forecast Instability – Valid Monday Evening – owxdata.com

Additional thunderstorms may form further north of the region during Monday afternoon. These will form into a line of strong to severe thunderstorms and move south during the evening hours. Damaging winds and an isolated tornado will be possible with this round of storms. It does look like the main concern will be damaging wind. However, both rounds of storms may be severe. Shear, the variable depicted below, will help keep the cluster of storms well organized.

Hi-Res NAM Helicity Values - Valid Tuesday Evening - owxdata.com
Hi-Res NAM Helicity Values – Valid Monday Evening – owxdata.com

The Storm Prediction Center has issued an “enhanced” risk of severe weather for Bowling Green on Tuesday. It is important to note a “moderate” risk has been issued for areas just to the north and east of Bowling Green.

Severe Storm Outlook - Valid Monday - Storm Prediction Center
Severe Storm Outlook – Valid Monday – Storm Prediction Center

Strong storms will continue into the overnight hours, posing mainly a risk for damaging wind and isolated tornadoes. After the storms depart, lows will be around 76°.

Tuesday 7/14 – Isolated Strong to Severe Storms; Hot – High 94° / Tue Night – Partly Cloudy; Windy – Low 74°

The boundary that served as the primary forcing for the large complex of storms forecast to form Monday will drift south into our region on Tuesday. Isolated strong to severe storms may form across the region in the highly unstable environment. Damaging winds and heavy rain will be the main hazards associated with these storms. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a “slight” risk of severe storms on Tuesday.

Severe Storm Outlook - Valid Tuesday - Storm Prediction Center
Severe Storm Outlook – Valid Tuesday – Storm Prediction Center

Conditions will also be dangerously hot across the region. Afternoon highs will be in the mid 90s across the region. This will combine with dew points in the mid to upper 70s will lead to temperatures that feel more like they’re in the low 100s across the area. Be sure to have plenty of water and a way to cool down if you have outside activities.

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

Tuesday night will bring partly cloudy skies to the region with a low near 74°. Conditions will be fairly windy with sustained winds between 10-15 mph with gusts as high as 25 mph.


It is also important to note that the several rounds of thunderstorms moving through the region may lead to additional isolated flooding concerns. An additional 1-3″+ will be possible through the next few days. This may lead to flash flooding, as well as small stream flooding. Remember to never drive through flooded roadways.

h/t National Weather Service
h/t National Weather Service

That should wrap up this forecast. Be sure to follow @WxOrNotBG for the latest Bowling Green weather information. Refer to the radar image above regarding thunderstorms this evening.