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Real-time BG radar:
Today: Partly cloudy, with showers and storms. Some could be strong to severe. High of 80ºF / Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy, with a low of 64ºF.
Well, at least the majority of your Memorial Day weekend was good….until yesterday. The rain and clouds ruined most plans, and put a nasty damper on the weekend as a whole. Today isn’t looking too great, either.
There’s gonna be a this thing called a shortwave that rotates into the region around a mid-level low pressure system today. This will assist in firing off scattered storms late this morning into early afternoon. The HRRR simulated radar model suggests strong storms will move through around 10am – 1pm:
If we can get enough clearing, look for highs to rocket into the 80s, with a chance at a few storms meeting severe criteria. The latest convective outlook for today is provided below. As you can see, it includes all of south central Kentucky in a Slight Risk for severe storms today…
The main threats with this setup will be large hail and damaging winds, though, I am not buying it too much. A very marginal threat will be an isolated tornado spin-up. Though unlikely, we can’t rule it out. Torrential rain and minor flooding could also become a problem.
Just be alert as the day progresses. Overnight, more stable air will roll into the region, and while it’ll be a bit muggy, the temps should fall into the mid 60s, which woulds okay with me.
Wednesday: Evening showers and storms; otherwise, partly to mostly cloudy. High of 83ºF. Wed. night: Isolated showers, becoming partly cloudy. Lows around 65ºF.
Man, this summer-like forecast is already boring me. Boring me to exhaustion (I was already there). Everyday has a chance of being really hot, and having a storms. Go to sleep, rinse, repeat. Its a big version of “Groundhog” the movie.
Well, like most summer forecasts, you will see some afternoon activity pop up. This should keep it pretty clear outside of those storms, with highs rising into the mid 80s. Overnight, look for skies to get relatively clear, with lows in the mid 60s.
Thursday: Rinse and repeat (aka: see Wednesdays’ precip forecast). High of 84ºF. Thurs. night: Mostly clear. Low of 64ºF.
Lets skip back to winter weather forecasting. Seriously. This is gonna get old quick. See, unlike the other 3 seasons, summer is the only time in which the weather is constantly being consistent. It doesn’t keep you on your toes. It makes you need to innovate…I have no ideas.
Overall, its looking like a relatively nice day. Some afternoon storms are possible with an otherwise mostly cloudy sky. Temps will rise into the mid 80s, but severe weather is unlikely. The SPC has included us in a Marginal Risk for strong storms Thursday:
Looking at the overnight hours, it looks like skies will become mostly clear, with lows in the mid 60s.
For the latest on the severe weather threat across the region today, be sure to check out @WxOrNotBG and @WarrenCountyWx on Twitter for the latest! Stay safe.