Storm Chances Ahead

Real Time Regional Radar:


 

This Afternoon – Mostly Cloudy; Showers & Storms – High 86º / Tonight – Mostly Cloudy; Sct’d Storms – Low 70º

3pm 86º – 6pm 83º – 9pm 77º – 12am 73º – 3am 71º – 6am 70º

Beneficial rain will begin working across southern Kentucky this afternoon and evening as an upper level trough slides through the region. The associated surface cold front will slowly work through the Commonwealth as southwest flow continues to pump in plenty of moisture.

WPC Forecast Surface Map. Valid For Tuesday 7pm.
WPC Forecast Surface Map. Valid For Tuesday 7pm.

Precipitable water values indicate a very moist atmosphere for much of this afternoon along with decent instability and lift from the aforementioned boundary. Showers and storms are expected to become more widespread this afternoon and evening with primary threats being heavy rainfall, gusty winds and lightning. However, a few cells could be strong, even severe with damaging winds and areal flooding.

Precipitable Water Map. Valid For Tuesday 7pm (College of DuPage).
Precipitable Water Map. Valid For Tuesday 7pm (College of DuPage).

Precipitation forecast continue to hint towards a moderate rainfall event with rainfall totals ranging from 0.75” – 1.0” for Bowling Green. A few lingering showers or storms will be possible late tonight as the remnant system works eastward. Overnight temperatures will remain mild with lows right around 70º.

WPC Day 1 Precipitation Forecast. Valid through 7pm Tuesday.
WPC Day 1 Precipitation Forecast. Valid through 7pm Tuesday.

Wed – Partly Sunny; Iso’d Storms – High 85º / Wed Night – Partly Cloudy; Pleasant – Low 68º

Conditions will begin to partially clear out as the system that brought much needed rainfall works eastward. We’ll catch an extended break from those 90 degree temperatures as Wednesday offers another slightly cooler day. A few isolated showers & storms will be possible early only before things shape up nicely with highs in the mid 80’s by Wednesday afternoon.

Upper level ridging and surface high pressure will increase across the area Wednesday night. Drier air will settle in late as conditions remain relatively calm across Bowling Green. Overnight temperatures will be pleasant as lows drop into the upper 60’s under partly cloudy skies. I don’t know about you, but I’m jumping for joy over that one!

 

h/t mashable.com
h/t mashable.com

Thu – Partly Sunny; Iso’d Storms – High 88º / Thu Night – Mostly Cloudy; Sct’d Storms – Low 69º

As we head into late week, the same ole pattern begins to shape up once again. Temperatures will begin to climb back into the upper 80’s as muggy conditions make an abrupt return. Winds will begin to shift back from our southwest as moisture flows back into the region. Diurnally driven storms will be the name of the game Thursday afternoon as activity will be isolated in nature.

As usual, activity will decrease in coverage into the evening hours with the loss of daytime heating. Look for partly cloudy skies once again Thursday evening with more storm chances by Friday.

That does it for now, folks. Be sure to stay up to date with all your real time weather info @WxOrNotBG and @WarrenCountyWX on twitter. Have a great evening!