Summer-like Pattern Continues

Real-Time Regional Radars:

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This Afternoon – Partly Sunny; Sct’d Storms – High 88º / Tonight – Mostly Cloudy; Iso’d Storms– Low 67º

3pm 85º – 6pm 84º – 9pm 77º – 12am 71º – 3am 68º – 6am 67º

The theme from the earlier forecast update will continue on. Summer-like heat along with muggy conditions and scattered storms will persist through the evening hours. Of course with any storm development that occurs, severe weather is not anticipated but primary threats with any activity will be heavy rain, gusty winds, and lightning. Track any storms above with our regional radars provided.

Outside of the rinse and repeat forecast, temperatures will be a tad warmer this afternoon as thermometer readings soar into the mid-upper 80’s. Throw in dewpoint values ranging from the upper 60’s, near 70 degrees, and that folks is definition hot and muggy.

This evening, any scattered storms that develop across southern Kentucky will eventually diminish with the loss of daytime heating. Otherwise, expect mostly cloudy conditions as we keep the slight chance for an isolated storm overnight.

 

The usual reaction we get when it’s hot…and muggy.

h/t humancastiel.tumblr.com
h/t humancastiel.tumblr.com

I agree.

Wed – Mostly Cloudy; Sct’d Storms – High 85º / Tue Night – Mostly Cloudy; Sct’d Storms – Low 66º

A cold front will begin to slowly track southward across the Commonwealth while resembling our set up from last week. This feature will provide additional lift across the area where scattered showers and storms will develop. Unlike the past two days, shower and storm coverage will be more widespread providing an increase for precipitation chances.

Plenty of moisture and instability will be available as precipitable water values will range from 1.4 – 1.6’’ for a good portion of the area. This moist atmosphere, coupled with decent instability and some forcing from the approaching front, will provide the spark needed for storm development tomorrow afternoon.

While thunderstorm coverage may increase for our Wednesday afternoon/evening, severe weather is not anticipated. However, brief heavy rainfall and lighting will be primary threats with any development along with gusty winds.

WPC Forecast Surface Map. Valid for 7pm Wednesday.
WPC Forecast Surface Map. Valid for 7pm Wednesday (Courtesy NOAA).

Thu – Partly Cloudy; Sct’d Storms – High 86º / Thu Night – Mostly Cloudy; Sct’d Storms – Low 67º

The pesky upper level low will continue to wobble across portions of Louisiana by late Wednesday night and into early Thursday morning. A nice southwesterly flow will continue to usher in plenty of moisture across the region while keeping us warm and muggy. Dewpoint temperatures will range from the mid-upper 60’s once again Thursday afternoon as the atmosphere will be moist.

500mb Height & Vorticity Map. Valid 7am Thursday (Courtesy NCEP/NOAA).
500mb Height & Vorticity Map. Valid 7am Thursday (Courtesy NCEP/NOAA).

The aforementioned cold front will weaken out while sliding southward through the state by Thursday. This lingering boundary, when coupled with plenty of moisture and instability, could provide more thunderstorm development by Thursday afternoon along with the possibility of diurnal driven storms too. With that said, we’ll keep the chances for more afternoon storm activity in the forecast for Bowling Green.

Once again, storms are not expected to be severe on Thursday and will remain scattered in nature. These hit and miss storm could bring brief heavy rainfall to some folks while others remain completely dry.  In other words, the summer-like weather continues.

That’s all I have for now, folks. Be sure to stay up to date with all your real time weather info @WxOrNotBG and @WarrenCountyWX on twitter. Wishing everyone a great day, stay cool out there!