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Tomorrow is Friday…which calls for an awkward dance.
This Afternoon – Sunny & Breezy – High 55 / Tonight – Partly Cloudy – Low 34
4pm 50 ~ 7pm 39 ~ 10pm 36 ~ 1am 34 ~ 4am 34
High pressure continues to keep relatively calm conditions in place across south central Kentucky. A tightening pressure gradient on the backside of this feature will keep brisk, southerly winds of 15-25mph in the forecast through this evening. Overnight, partly cloudy and quiet will claim the weather headlines. Here is a look at the current surface setup across the Continental US:
Friday – Increasing Clouds, Iso’d PM Shower – High 59 / Fri Night – Mostly Cloudy, Low 46
7am 35 ~ 10am 47 ~ 1pm 55 ~ 4pm 58 ~ 7pm 50
A mid level shortwave will track near the region, causing cloud cover to increase, as southerly winds of 5-10mph occupy south central Kentucky. Given the setup, I’ll mention a stray shower or two during the afternoon. Although unlikely, it’s still possible. Overall…a warm, partly cloudy day.
Saturday & Sunday
Latest model guidance has continued with the idea of a potential inclement weather event this weekend. A deepening surface low will develop across the Plains, and begin a northeastward track toward the Great Lakes. In response to this, south central Kentucky will be placed in the warm sector of this system. This simply means warm, moist air will transport northeast into our proximity from the Gulf, priming our atmosphere for possible strong/severe thunderstorms on Sunday. The image provided is Sunday’s Convective Outlook from the SPC. As I made mention of this morning, it includes nearly the entire state of Kentucky as an area of concentration:
The latest data has struggled with the timing of this event. From what I’m seeing at the moment, Sunday afternoon – Sunday night seems to be the time period to focus on. Parameters are in place for a squall line type of feature to progress west to east over the area ahead of a strong cold front. Nothing is set in stone, however, I’ll need to keep a close eye on this as it continues to evolve. Keep an eye on the sky this weekend, friends.
That will be all for now, folks. I’ll be back at my usual time tomorrow morning (around 5am) with a fresh update regarding our pending weekend severe weather. Enjoy what’s left of your Thursday, and thanks for reading!