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Real-time Bowling Green Weather Radar
Yesterday’s Weather
Yesterday’s weather was as Autumnly as I can remember a day being. Highs were cool, it was sunny, and I managed to rake leaves, watch Football and Basketball. How great can a Fall day get!? Highs were only in the mid and upper 50s across the region, so that made everything great.
Forecast Summary
Today: Mostly sunny, with highs around 63°F. Overnight, look for mostly clear skies, with lows around 36°F.
- Wake up: ☀️ 32°F
- Lunch hour: ☀️ 60°F
- Evening time: ☀️ 59°F
Tomorrow: Mostly sunny, with highs around 64°F. Overnight, look for partly to mostly cloudy skies, with a chance of isolated showers. Lows around 43°F.
- Bus stop: ☀️ 37°F
- Lunch hour: ☀️ 59°F
- School is out: 🌤 64°F
- Evening time: 🌤/⛅️ 60°F
Tuesday: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs around 62°F. Overnight, look for mostly clear skies, with lows around 38°F.
- Bus stop: 🌤 45°F
- Lunch hour: 🌤/⛅️ 60°F
- School is out: 🌤/⛅️ 62°F
- Evening time: 🌤 58°F
Discussion
Don’t let the title fool you: the weather the next few days does not look interesting at all.
However, that doesn’t mean this forecast isn’t very interesting! Actually, this forecast is one of the more intriguing ones that I have had in a while. The overall set up for the next few days will feature a large, synoptic scale trough centered across the Ohio Valley and eastern US. To our southeast, a small cutoff low is forecast to develop, and slowly move within this larger trough, producing precip across portions of the southeast that need it (aka: areas fighting wildfires).
To our west, there are a couple of things that make this forecast interesting. There is a weak, but present, mid-level shortwave across the southern Midwest that is making its way eastward. This looks to briefly cutoff to our south, but it shouldn’t be too strong. Then right after that, a piece of mid-level vorticity is forecast to dig into the lower Ohio Valley, and this is what makes everything interesting.
Vorticity is a lifting mechanism, and is one of the more efficient meteorological variables at forcing precip. However, it will be digging into a region that is moisture starved, as we will have very little airmass recovery between now and then. It won’t have much moisture to work with, and it isn’t too strong. But, there is still a chance that we see light precip on Monday night, and that is why I have that in the forecast.
In addition to that, cloud cover variable with this is a bit tougher. Because there is a relative lack in moisture, it is hard to gage just how much cloud cover we’ll actually see. However, I do think that Tuesday looks like a decent threat at seeing that as we’ll be in the deepest part of the trough, which should allow for some cloud cover.
I think Tuesday is the coolest day of the three, but that difference may only be marginal because we’ll be within the same general airmass. And that is how I got to the forecast you see above!
Now, I hinted at the weather becoming interesting at some point. That looks pretty likely at this point. Much of the model guidance has been consistently hinting at a deep low pressure system forming later on in the week, which would make everything really nice. There is a ton of uncertainty in timing, impacts and overall details, but it does (finally) look like something interesting is in the horizon.
Today’s Key Points
- Forecast is interesting; the weather impacts aren’t
- Look for clouds tomorrow late afternoon and into Tuesday
- Isolated showers Tuesday night
- Highs in the low 60s all three days
- Warm up and interesting weather mid to late week? Maybe.