Stormy and Hot Bowling Green Weather

Real-time Bowling Green Radar

Yesterday’s Weather

Holy moly it was hot outside yesterday. It was really hot yesterday, actually. Temperatures warmed into the mid 90s, and with higher dewpoints, the heat index rose fairly high by the afternoon. We avoided storms, though, which I am appreciative of (rivers and streams are finally returning to normal).

Yesterday's climate report. h/t NWS Louisville — Yesterday’s climate report. h/t NWS Louisville

Forecast Summary

Today: Partly cloudy, with scattered storms. Highs around 91°F. Overnight, look for partly cloudy skies, with lows around 76°F.

Wake up: 🌤 /⛈ 74°F
Lunch hour: 🌤 /⛈ 90°F
Evening time: 🌤 /⛈ 87°F

Tomorrow: Scattered storms. Highs around 93°F. Overnight, look for the storms to die early on, leaving us with partly cloudy skies and lows around 77°F.

Wake up: 🌤 76°F
Lunch hour: 🌤 /⛈ 91°F
Evening time: 🌤 /⛈ 90°F

Sunday: Partly cloudy, with isolated storms. Highs around 94°F. Overnight, look for skies to remain partly cloudy, with lows around 76°F.

Wake up: 🌤 78°F
Lunch hour: 🌤 92°F
Evening time: 🌤 /⛈ 91°F

Discussion

Heat Advisory until Saturday at 7 pm

Ahh, storm chances! I actually am on the border of love/hate for the storm chances that I am forecasting for.

Rivers are just now starting to return to normal, and I am an avid angler, so it is hard to accept it raining all the time. But I hate the heat. It is the worst. So it is a balancing act for sure.

This gif applies to nothing, but I love it. h/t http://i.imgur.com/nJnD26r.gif?noredirect

We are on the eastern periphery of the ridge, which is inherently a favorable position to be in for thunderstorm complexes to roll through. That is exactly what we are looking at right now.

SPC Analyzed 500 mb heights. Our placement with respect to the ridge is favorable for us to see complexes of thunderstorms roll through the region. h/t SPC

A strong thunderstorm complex formed over central Wisconsin late last evening, and has been moving south along the eastern fringe of the ridge overnight. This is finally making it towards us, and I fully expect it to either make it here, or to force new convection near us this morning into this afternoon.

The HRRR has had a decent handle on the convection, and shows the initial wave weakening and forcing new storms towards us. h/t pivotalweather.com

I think that we may see a break after the initial convection, and that is what will get us up into the low 90s. However, based on the current movement and evolution of the system, that may even be hard to achieve. It is worth mentioning that we still remain in a Heat Advisory until 7 pm on Saturday. If we get any sunshine for an extended time this afternoon, we will get hot, and very humid.

The #heatwave continues into the weekend. Heat indices in excess of 100 degrees! #kywx #inwx pic.twitter.com/suLrs3oSer

— NWS Louisville (@NWSLouisville) July 21, 2016

Overnight tonight, look for the threat for isolated storms to continue, but nothing widespread is expected. Lows in the mid 70s. Tomorrow looks both hot and stormy.

What a great combination! I am happy that the we have the possibility of storms to keep us at least a bit cooler, but I mean, I hope we avoid a flash flooding threat.

Yeah, with storm motions looking weak, and precipitable water values looking fairly high, most storms will produce heavy rain and lightning tomorrow. These will be the main threat, as wind shear doesn’t look high enough to force a legit severe weather threat.

One of the hi-res models showing the threat for thunderstorms tomorrow. This model is handling the current convection moderately well, so I feel comfortable using its solution as part of my forecast. h/t pivotalweather.com

Highs tomorrow look to hit the mid 90s, but if we get a thunderstorm complex early in the morning, that will likely be lower.

The hi res NAM's forecast for temps tomorrow afternoon. h/t COD Weather — The hi res NAM’s forecast for temps tomorrow afternoon. h/t COD Weather

Overnight, look for partly cloudy skies, with lows in the mid 70s. Sunday looks to potentially be the quietest day of the weekend, honestly.

There will likely some isolated storms out there during the afternoon hours, but I don’t see much other than that. Highs look to reach the mid 90s again on Sunday, and this will make it fairly hot out, combining with high dewpoints.

The NAM's forecast for temps Sunday afternoon. h/t COD Weather — The NAM’s forecast for temps Sunday afternoon. h/t COD Weather

Overnight on Sunday, look for partly cloudy skies, with lows in the mid 70s.

Extended Outlook

In the extended, the ridge is looking to begin breaking down! This will lead to temps being a bit cooler across the region, with storms more likely. The CPC has us seeing above average temps, and above average precip for the 6-10 day period, and before that, anticipate similar conditions.

The CPC's 6-10 day temperature outlook. h/t CPC — The CPC’s 6-10 day temperature outlook. h/t CPC

The CPC's 6-10 day outlook for precipitation. h/t CPC — The CPC’s 6-10 day outlook for precipitation. h/t CPC

Thats all I have for ya! Thanks for checking into WxOrNotBG this morning, and be sure to follow @WxOrNotBG and @WKUweather on Twitter and like Landon Hampton on Facebook for the latest Bowling Green Weather information. Have a great day folks!