Wintry Weather Expected in Southern Kentucky

Real-Time Bowling Green Radar:

 Today 1/26 – Cloudy, Iso’d Snow Showers; Breezy – High 35º / Tonight – Cloudy; Scat’d Snow Showers – Low 30º

6am 30˚ – 9am 31˚ – 12pm 32˚ – 3pm 35˚ –6pm 32˚

The very little precipitation southern Kentucky received overnight was in response to a surface cold front moving east across the state. The cold front is currently positioned in eastern Kentucky, along with the majority of the precipitation.

With this system sliding toward the east coast, cold air has caught up with lingering moisture over south central Kentucky. We can’t rule out an isolated snow shower or two through mid-morning as a result.

Watch out for a few slick spots on the roads this morning, as temps remain below freezing. What a way to start the work week, eh?

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h/t reactiongifs.com

Expect us to dry out completely by lunchtime. Skies will remain cloudy, with breezy northwest winds (10-20 mph) at the surface keeping our temperatures in the middle 30s, with wind chills in the 20s.

Scattered snow showers could re-enter the forecast late this afternoon, in response to precipitation forming along a weak boundary associated an area of low pressure in the upper Midwest. Once again, precipitation will be light, and looks to initially cause little to no impact, as our atmosphere remains dry.

The HRRR model below is valid for 6pm this evening, and likes the idea of scattered snow showers. It’s at this point in time that we could see a few travel issues start to develop…

HRRR Simulated Radar Valid 6pm - WeatherBELL Analytics
HRRR Simulated Radar Valid 6pm – WeatherBELL Analytics

Our main focus is on another round of snow showers that look to accompany a clipper system during the predawn hours of our Tuesday, after our atmosphere becomes more saturated.  Any snow that falls with this disturbance will stick to roadways, thanks to surface temps below freezing.

The GFS model below is valid for midnight, and paints a nice picture of the low pressure “clipper” and associated snow that will dive SE across the area. This should give you a better idea of how this system will behave:

GFS Surface Pressure & Precip Model Valid 6am Tuesday - WeatherBELL Analytics
GFS Surface Pressure & Precip Model Valid 12am Tuesday – WeatherBELL Analytics

As far as accumulations are concerned, we could see a nice dusting – 1/2″ on the ground, if anything.  A few lucky folks may rival an inch if the snow can start soon enough. Again, please exercise caution if you’re traveling tonight/early Tuesday morning.

 Tuesday 1/27 – Mostly Cloudy; Iso’d Rain & Snow Showers – High 39º / Tue Night – Mostly Clear – Low 24º

Isolated snow showers will continue during the day tomorrow, thanks to a pesky boundary that will be slow to get out of our hair. Temperatures will be slightly warmer tomorrow, so any precipitation that may starts out as snow is expected to change over to a light mix of rain and snow during the afternoon. No accumulations are expected.

Weak upper-level ridging will increase tomorrow night which will be enough to push clouds out of our area. Low temperatures will fall into the lower to middle 20s under mostly clear skies.

Wednesday 1/28 – Sunny – High 43º /  Wed Night – Mostly Cloudy; Iso’d Showers Late – Low 39º

The Sun will make a brief appearance on Wednesday thanks to surface high pressure near the region. To our west, a weak area of low pressure will begin to form and southern Kentucky will experience warm air advection ahead of the low. Temperatures will reach the middle 40s making for a pleasant day.

Cloud cover will begin to increase again on Wednesday night as low pressure moves closer to the area. A few isolated showers will be possible after midnight and at this time model guidance is suggesting it will be too warm for any wintry weather.

That’s all I’ve got for this morning. Be sure to check out @WarrenCountyWX and @WxOrNotBG on Twitter for real-time weather updates.