Atlantic Tropical Disturbance

As previously mentioned, the tropics are heating up once again. An Atlantic tropical disturbance has been noted in the southwestern Atlantic Ocean, and is beginning to become a bit better organized. The National Hurricane Center gives the disturbance a 70% chance of forming into a tropical depression in the next 48 hours.

Visible Satellite Image of Tropical Disturbance - GREarth
Visible Satellite Image of Tropical Disturbance – GREarth

“A Hurricane Hunter aircraft has continued to investigate the
low pressure system located about 500 miles east of the Windward
Islands. Observations from the aircraft indicate that this system
is producing winds of up to 40 to 45 mph in the northern portion of
the circulation. Showers and thunderstorms could redevelop over
the low tonight or Friday, which could result in tropical cyclone
formation. Regardless of development, winds of gale force are
likely to spread across portions of the Lesser Antilles beginning
early Friday. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should continue
to monitor the progress of this disturbance as it moves
west-northwestward near 20 mph, and watches or warnings may be
required for some of these islands later tonight or Friday.”

-National Hurricane Center

Windstream Map of Tropical Disturbance - earth.nullschool.net
Windstream Map of Tropical Disturbance – earth.nullschool.net

Above is a windstream map of the tropical disturbance. You can track the progression of the Atlantic tropical disturbance by navigating to the earth.nullschool.net interactive map.

After taking a quick look at some of the recent model runs, it looks like this will not strengthen very much, and will likely stay offshore of the US. However, a lot can change so stay tuned!