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Real-time Radar:
Today – 6/27 Mostly Cloudy; Sct’d T’storms – High 86º / Tonight – Partly Cloudy; Iso’d Showers – Low 68º
6am 68º – 9am 80º – 12pm 84º – 3pm 86º – 6pm 84º
Continued near average summer weather will be the main focus for the forecast today. Temperatures are running along with expected values this time of year, with highs into the upper 80s across the region, and lows into the upper 60s. A stationary front present across the Ohio Valley will help initiate isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening hours.
Although severe storms are not expected, those who see the precipitation activity will be vulnerable to lightning and heavy downpours. “When thunder roars, go indoors.” Check out the surface map for today at 1pm:
Expect any shower and thunderstorm activity to decrease in coverage into the late evening and nighttime hours with lows into the upper 60’s.
Saturday 6/28 – Mostly Cloudy; Sct’d T’storms – High 88º / Saturday Night – Mostly Cloudy; Iso’d T’storms – Low 69º
Saturday will be a close repeat as Friday but with precipitation coverage a bit more widespread as suggested by model guidance; this is due in part by stronger southerly flow. Afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms are expected. Please plan any outdoor activities for this weekend with the knowledge that these storms can pop up very quickly and at any location across the region.
Keep an eye on the radar and stay weather aware. Severe thunderstorms are not expected but locally heavy rains and lightning will continue to be the main threat. As usual though, storm activity will diminish overnight.
Sunday 6/29 – Mostly Cloudy; Sct’d T’storms – High 87º / Sunday Night – Mostly Cloudy; Iso’d T’storms – Low 69º
Sunday could literally be a copy and paste from Saturday. Continued southerly flow will help to maintain a warm, humid air mass with scattered showers and thunderstorms into the afternoon and evening hours. However, our upper air dynamics are beginning to change a bit as the ridge across the Ohio Valley pushes east.
A trough axis over the upper Mississippi Valley will help provide necessary elements to possibly organize precipitation into a more linear setup on Sunday partly due to increasing values of upper level relative vorticity. Here’s NAM guidance suggesting radar reflectivity at 1pm Sunday:
Overall, the threat for scattered showers and thunderstorms will persist throughout the forecast period. Keep in mind that most areas, however, should be mostly quite with the afternoon hours warm and muggy. Keep any eye on the radar and as always, stay weather aware.
That does it for now, folks. Be sure to stay up to date with all your real time weather info @WxOrNotBG and @WarrenCountyWX on Twitter. Have a great Friday and get ready for the weekend!