Well lets gets right into folks, its going to be a wet next 48 hours across the area. A lot to track at what looks to be a wet start and end to the work week. As stated above, rain returns to the forecast for WABBLES.
This morning we do have a mix of precipitation moving across the commonwealth. All rain is expected here in the WABBLES region but areas to our north are experiencing sleet and freezing rain. The storm responsible for the this active weather is still sitting over Southern California. Ahead of it moisture is beginning to surge north and enough lift is allowing for precipitation to develop this morning.
Warm air advection is starting to move in from west to east. Temperatures are currently in the 40s across Western Kentucky, while temperatures are still near freezing farther east. We are expecting highs to reach the low 50s this afternoon.
Showers are moving in this morning and are expected to continue off and on through the day. The heaviest of the rain is expected to hold off until late tonight and into Monday. Again, no wintry precipitation is expected with this system.
Rain Increases Overnight
Rain will become more widespread as the storm system approaches. The bulk of the rain will not move in until after midnight. At that point, we will start seeing the potential for moderate-heavy rain to take over the area.
Temperatures will drop into the low 40s overnight while winds stay rather calm. Wind gust will stay well under 15mph through early Monday.
Widespread Rain Monday
The storm system will really start to strengthen as we head through the day Monday. Expect rounds of moderate to heavy rainfall throughout the day. Localized flooding issues cannot be ruled out but most streams and rivers will be able to handle this rainfall event.
Rainfall totals for WABBLES will be in the 1-2in range. A few locations may jump over the 2in mark but that should remain isolated. The other big story on Monday will be the warm surge ahead of the surface low. Temperatures look to surge well into the 60s Monday afternoon as the cold front approaches.
Now, we may see a few storms develop along the cold front Monday afternoon/evening. Severe weather is not expected at this time but a few heavy downpours and gusty winds are possible. Small hail is also possible as well.
This may be are first chance at a few rumbles of thunder in 2021!
The storm prediction center right now has us under a general thunderstorm risk for Monday. The best chance for severe storms will remain to our south and west. Again, something we are monitoring but not a big threat by any means.
A strong low level jet will crank up those winds Monday afternoon. A few gusts approaching 30mph will be possible as the cold front moves in.
As we head into Tuesday things will dry out and we may be looking at sunshine for the afternoon. Temperatures will top out in the mid-50s so it is going to be a nice day for late January!
Late Week System
Another storm system moves in on Wednesday which will bring another round of precipitation. As of right now this looks like mostly rain, but we will need to keep a close eye as areas just to our north and east could see snow.
That is it for this blog post! I hope everyone has a great weekend and finds some way to enjoy the rain. I encourage everyone to go and look at our social media accounts, @wxornotBG on Instagram, Facebook, and Twitter.