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Real Time Bowling Green Weather Radar:
Today – Scat’d Strong Storms, Windy – High 72° / Tonight – Scat’d Storms – Low 40°
*A Tornado Watch is in effect for Warren and Butler counties until 9:00 PM CST*
Temperatures are currently hovering near 70º in Bowling Green with dew points in the 60s. A warm and moist air mass is converging ahead of a surface cold front currently positioned over western Kentucky. A broken line of strong to severe storms is expected to form along the front and move east across the state.
Ahead of the cold front, we have seen a few peeks of sunshine behind the round of showers and storms from this morning. This has allowed the atmosphere to partially recover and instability has begun to build back into the region. Low-level wind shear is impressive across southern Kentucky which will help to organize any severe storms today.
There are two areas of concern with these storms this afternoon. First, isolated supercells containing hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes will be possible across southern Kentucky ahead of the cold front today. At this time, we are keeping an eye on our storms to our southwest as they move into an environment conducive for severe storm development.
The other threat for severe storms is expected to occur between 4-7 PM as a broken line of strong to severe thunderstorms associated with the cold front will begin to push east across the area. These storms will be more widespread with the potential for damaging winds, large hail, and isolated tornadoes.
The Storm Prediction Center has given southern Kentucky a 10% chance of a tornado occurring within 25 miles of a given point today.
The Storm Prediction Center has given southern Kentucky a 30% chance of damaging winds in excess of 58 mph occurring within 25 miles of a given point today.
The Storm Prediction Center has given southern Kentucky a 30% chance of large hail occurring within 25 miles of a given point today.
Another threat with today’s storms will be the possibility of flash flooding to occur. An additional 0.5-1″ of rain is expected to fall with locally heavier amounts possible. All of this rain will fall on a ground surface that is already saturated which could result in some minor flooding problems.
Once the cold front passes east of southern Kentucky, we will be in the all clear as far as severe weather goes. A few isolated rain showers will be possible until midnight with skies clearing overnight. Temperatures will tumble quickly as surface winds turn the northwest. Overnight low temperatures will approach 40°.
Saturday – Mostly Sunny – High 57° / Sat Night – Mostly Clear – Low 35°
A much needed break from the active weather we have seen over the past few days will begin on Saturday. A cooler air mass will move in behind tonight’s cold front and surface high pressure will build over the Ohio Valley tomorrow. As a result, expect mostly sunny skies with highs in the upper 50s. Overnight temperatures will be chilly with lows in the 30s.
Sunday – Mostly Sunny – High 66° / Sun Night – Iso’d Showers – Low 47°
Expect another beautiful day on Sunday with southerly winds pushing high temperatures into the middle to upper 60s. Clouds will begin to increase during the evening as these winds help to pull moisture from the Gulf of Mexico into Kentucky. Iso’d showers are possible after midnight and unfortunately, these showers may be only the beginning of a very wet pattern that may set up next week.
Remember that is important to stay up to date with the latest severe weather information today. For real-time weather updates be sure to follow @WxOrNotBG and @WarrenCountyWX on Twitter for real-time weather updates.