@wxornotBG Facebook
@wxornotBG Twitter
@wxornotBG Instagram
Today 3/27 – Scat’d Showers, BREEZY – High 64˚ / Tonight – Showers Likely – Low 52˚
6am 36˚ ~ 9am 49˚ ~ 12pm 58˚ ~ 3pm 64˚ ~ 6pm 61˚ ~ 9pm 58˚
We’ll see southerly flow amp up today as an area of low pressure to our northwest tracks east across the Ohio Valley. Couple this with high pressure oriented off the east coast and we’ll be within a tightening pressure gradient, which will produce winds out of the south at 15-30+mph.
The good news: temperatures should rebound into the low – mid 60s today. The bad news: scattered showers will be possible, especially late in the afternoon, and will only increase in coverage through the night. This will be thanks to a cold front approaching from our west.
The NAM simulated radar below loops every 3 hours from 7pm tonight – 7am Friday morning. Hopefully it gives you a better understanding as to how this system will behave:
Fri – Scat’d Showers & Storms – High 69˚ / Fri Night – Showers & Storms Likely – Low 53˚
The cold front won’t be in any hurry on Friday, and as a result, our wet weather conditions will stick around. Southerly winds will keep temperatures on a warming trend, with scattered showers & storms expected during the day.
A more significant chance at seeing rainfall will roll in Friday night, as another area of low pressure forms to our southwest, and cuts a path northeast along the boundary (cold front).
Some of the storms produced by this disturbance could be on the strong side, with a few potentially meeting severe criteria. The SPC has kept south central Kentucky in a “Slight Risk” for severe weather on Friday, with the biggest threats being strong winds, frequent lightning, torrential rainfall, and hail.
You can see the most recent SPC outlook below, which says we’ll have a 15% probability of seeing severe weather within 25 miles of a given location:
By the time the rain finally moves out on Saturday morning, most of us will have picked up 1-2″ of rain from the event as a whole (Thu night – Sat). Localized areas may even see more. Luckily, things will quiet down late Saturday after a very active end to the work week.
We will be keeping close tabs on the latest data, monitoring our rain chances and storm potential over the next few days. For more frequent updates, check out @WxOrNotBG and @WarrenCountyWX on Twitter. That will wrap up the morning update. Have a great Thursday. Stay dry.