Stormy Pattern

Today 2/19 – Partly Sunny – High 65˚ / Tonight – Scat’d Showers & Storms – Low 43˚

6am 57˚ ~ 9am 58˚ ~ 12pm 60˚ ~ 3pm 65˚ ~ 6pm 50˚ ~ 9pm 46˚

Scattered showers & storms that impacted us early this morning have made way to partly cloudy skies.  We should see gradual clearing continue as we progress throughout the morning.  Rays of sunshine should be with us for the better part of the day, thanks to high pressure building in behind the boundary.  Here’s a look at surface conditions as of 6am:

Tonight, a low pressure system will evolve over the Southern Plains, which will extend a warm front eastward, that will pass north across south central Kentucky.  This forcing mechanism will combine with available moist, unstable air to produce scattered showers and storms tonight.  This elevated convection may produce small hail, winds up to 40+mph.

Thu – Showers & Storms Likely, BREEZY – High 76˚ / Thu Night – Showers & Storms Likely – Low 35˚

**Severe Weather Possible**

If you’ve followed the blog at all over the past several days, you know that Thursday has been a point of focus for some time now.  I think we’ll catch a break from the activity Thursday morning, before scattered showers and storms reenter the picture Thursday afternoon, as a stout cold front advances our way from the west.

During the lull of showers & storms, southerly winds will howl between 20-40+mph.  This is expected to result in temperature values reaching the mid – upper 70s!

The latest data continues to signal toward the potential for severe weather late Thursday afternoon – Thursday night.

With the recent trends favoring significant parameters being available, it’s likely we’ll see a strong, multi-linear band of storms track eastward across the area, ahead of the cold front.  The NAM simulated radar image below is valid for 6pm Friday.  It thinks we’ll be dealing with an active atmosphere by this point in time:

Main threats with this weather maker look to be widespread damaging winds and torrential rainfall of 1+”.  Embedded tornadoes cannot be ruled out with the setup that is expected to be in place.  Please stay up to date as this pending weather situation continues to unfold.  In the mean time, make sure you’re prepared.  Get a NOAA weather radio!

Fri – Iso’d AM Storms, Partly Sunny – High 53˚ / Fri Night – Clear – Low 35˚

A few storms may stick around before dawn, however, the severe risk will no longer be of concern.  High pressure will build in from our south, clearing skies for sun rays to take over, which will join mild temperatures in the lower 50s.  For Friday night, we look to remain clear and quiet as well.

Another sunny, mild day is slated for Saturday, as temperatures return to the low – mid 50s.  Saturday should carry similar characteristics to what we experience on Friday.

That’s all I’ve got.  Stay in touch with @Wx_Or_Not & @WarrenCountyWx for the latest up to date info on our severe weather chances tomorrow.  Enjoy your Wednesday, and thanks for reading.